2026 Housing Market Forecast | Kehrig Real Estate Team | Danville CA скачать в хорошем качестве

2026 Housing Market Forecast | Kehrig Real Estate Team | Danville CA

Happy New Year 2026! In this video update, Joe breaks down what’s forecast for the 2026 housing market and how it directly impacts our local East Bay communities, including San Ramon, Danville, Alamo, and Dublin. Nationally, we’re finally starting to see improvement after several slow years. For context, the U.S. has been averaging about 4 million home sales annually, compared to over 6 million during the 2020–2022 boom. That slowdown wasn’t due to lack of demand, we actually have tens of millions more people in the country now, it was driven by low inventory and high interest rates. The good news? That’s changing. As inventory continues to rebuild and mortgage rates trend lower, economists are forecasting about 10% more home sales in 2026, pushing total sales closer to 4.5 million nationwide. Rates that were hovering around 7% are now moving into the high-5% to low-6% range, and that makes a massive difference. A 1% change in interest rates can mean hundreds or even thousands of dollars per month in affordability and it also impacts how much income buyers need just to qualify. Here in the East Bay, we’re seeing these shifts play out in real time. Inventory, which typically drops at the end of the year, is now rising as we move through the early part of the year something we expect to continue over the next month or two. What I’m watching closely is the relationship between active listings and pending sales, because that ratio tells us where the market is headed. • San Ramon & Dublin: Active listings are rising faster than pendings, creating more choice for buyers and slightly longer days on market. • Danville: Pendings have remained relatively steady while inventory has increased modestly. • Alamo: Both actives and pendings are up, pointing to a more balanced environment. Even with more homes coming on the market, well-priced, well-presented properties are still selling near 100% of asking price, just not in one week like we saw during the frenzy. Today, homes are selling more realistically in the 4–6 week range, which is much healthier and more sustainable. Affordability is also improving. According to economists at Realtor.com, we’re entering a period where wage growth is expected to outpace home price appreciation, something we haven’t seen in years. With moderate price growth (1–3%), slightly lower rates, and rising wages, buyers and sellers alike will have more room to make thoughtful decisions instead of rushed ones. Builders are also adjusting. After several years of aggressive construction and incentives, many are slowing new starts to avoid oversupply, remembering the lessons of 2008. We’re already seeing price reductions and incentives on new construction, which adds even more options for buyers. Every market and every neighborhood is different. That’s why our approach has always been consultative. Sometimes the right move is selling now, sometimes it’s waiting, and sometimes it’s simply planning ahead for a move one, two, or even five years down the road. If you want to sit down and talk about where your home fits in today’s market, or how these trends affect your long-term plans, We are always happy to help. You can put Joe’s 48 years of experience and the teams combined 100+ years to work for you. Joe Kehrig Broker/Realtor The Kehrig Real Estate Team / Coldwell Banker Realty 📞 925.487.6838 ✉️ Joe@KehrigTeam.com 🌎 https://www.kehrigteam.com/ CA DRE# 00679296 From Our Family To Yours Serving Your Real Estate Needs For 48+ Years • The Kehrig Team: Joe Kehrig | DRE 00679296 Steve Kehrig | DRE 01410377 Mike Kehrig | DRE 01823194 Stephanie Talyat | DRE 01896880 Kelsey Smith | DRE 02139715 Anna DuMond | DRE 02084482 #RealEstateMarketForecast #RealEstate2026 #EastBayRealEstate #BayAreaLiving #HousingMarket #MarketUpdate #MortgageRates #InterestRates #HomeStability #HomeBuyers #HomeSellers #joekehrig #kehrigteam #coldwellbanker #Danville #Blackhawk #alamo #sanramon #BayAreaRealEstate #bayareahomes #EastBay #listingagent #BuyersAgent #housingaffordability