Roman Yampolskiy - AI: Unexplainable, Unpredictable, Uncontrollable скачать в хорошем качестве

Roman Yampolskiy - AI: Unexplainable, Unpredictable, Uncontrollable

In this presentation, Dr. Roman V. Yampolskiy provides a rigorous examination of the fundamental limitations of Artificial Intelligence, arguing that as systems approach and surpass human-level intelligence, they become inherently unexplainable, unpredictable, and uncontrollable. He illustrates how the black box nature of deep learning prevents full audits of decision-making, while concepts like computational irreducibility suggest we cannot forecast the actions of a smarter agent without running it – often until it is too late for safety. He asserts that there is currently no evidence or mathematical proof to guarantee that a superintelligent system can be safely contained or aligned with human values. 00:00 Introduction 00:49 Presentation 32:57 Q&A Starts - AI Safety via Control vs Motivation / Value Alignment 35:23 Indirect Alignment 37:34 The Person Effecting view 38:28 Indirect Normativity / CEV 40:09 Winter Intelligence Oxford 2012 40:31 What aspect of human-ness will remain after merging with AI? 41:48 Will AI ignore ethics constraints? 42:36 AI 2027 43:21 OpenClaw Moltbook 44:08 Linking AI and biblical prophecy 46:03 Omohundro's Basic AI Drives & Bostroms Instrumental Convergence 46:36 Goal Content Preservation 47:56 What are most poeple concerned about that may not be the biggest concern? 48:52 Can AI align to the better angels of human nature? 49:22 The landscape of possible minds - will AI appear at a random location, or are there convergences/attractor basins? 50:18 Random drift in mind design space, or convergences to attractors? 50:49 Will zombie AI be interested in aquiring sentience? 52:22 Will the "AI bubble" pop? 53:03 Non-existential risks of AI 53:51 General sentiement 54:22 Do we need buy in from most people to get AI safety research done? 55:19 Elevator speach to convince global leaders of AI risk 56:03 Market/geopolitical dynamics effecting AI governance coordination 56:58 Hugo de Garis' Species Dominance Debate 57:55 Would superintelligence stay a worthy successor? 58:28 How have you changed your mind? (i.e. about 99.9% doom) 59:32 Singleton vs quorum superintelligence 01:00:35 Extended mind hypothesis 01:01:29 Do you classify intrinsic motivation as a form of control? 01:02:38 Will AI want to traverse the moral arc of the universe? 01:04:02 Cosmic Hosts, Cosmic Collectives & Simulators - will AI only play nice when it meets another AI/civ/Simulator at or beyond it's own capability? 01:06:44 Another AI winter? 01:07:16 PauseAI - is there clear criteria for un-pausing? why not just stop? 01:08:45 Can narrow AI help solve the AI alignment problem? 01:09:33 Rice theorum 01:10:16 CoT - is chain of thought a reliable representation of what AI is thinking? 01:11:49 Is radical interpretability possible? 01:14:01 Debates 01:17:10 Don't ban AI, ban superintelligence 01:18:27 Is there any place in the space of possible minds where SI keeps humans around? 01:18:58 What would a guarantee of safe superintelligence look like? 01:20:00 Would superintelligence nessecitate epistemic humility? See: https://www.scifuture.org/roman-yampo... Many thanks for tuning in! Please support SciFuture by subscribing and sharing! Buy me a coffee? https://buymeacoffee.com/tech101z Have any ideas about people to interview? Want to be notified about future events? Any comments about the STF series? Please fill out this form: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1mr9P... Kind regards, Adam Ford Science, Technology & the Future - #SciFuture - http://scifuture.org