Containment Redux: Persian Gulf War Lessons from Iraq for U.S. Strategy Toward Iran скачать в хорошем качестве

Containment Redux: Persian Gulf War Lessons from Iraq for U.S. Strategy Toward Iran

Following the 12-Day War and the United States’ strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities, the Trump administration has reiterated that U.S. policy remains unequivocal: Tehran will not be permitted to acquire a nuclear weapon. With the regime weakened, but not defeated, Washington appears to be embracing a broad containment strategy anchored in military deterrence, maximum-pressure sanctions, and diplomatic isolation following the UN snapback sanctions to constrain Iran and prevent its network of proxies from rebuilding. The return to containment raises an important question: What are the lessons to be learned from the last time Washington pursued this policy against an anti-American, oil-rich autocrat in the Middle East who repressed his own people, pursued weapons of mass destruction, and targeted Israel with ballistic missiles? To examine the parallels between Iran in 2025 and Iraq after the First Persian Gulf War, FDD hosts Reuel Marc Gerecht, FDD resident scholar and former CIA Iranian targets officer; and Kenneth M. Pollack, Middle East Institute vice president for policy and former NSC director for Persian Gulf affairs. Moderated by FDD’s Iran Program Senior Director Behnam Ben Taleblu, the discussion will analyze how Washington’s mix of deterrence, sanctions, and diplomacy aims to recalibrate U.S. policy toward the Islamic Republic while preventing a 2003-style Iraq War outcome with Iran. ---- Chaptering: 00:00-03:57 - Introductory Remarks 03:58-11:33 - Can Iraq and Iran be Compared? 11:34-16:58 - Saddam Hussein v. Ali Khamenei 16:59-26:18 - Should Iran be Contained? 26:19-34:35 - Are Sanctions Useful? 34:36-39:32 - Is Iran Watching and Waiting? 39:33-45:28 - The Intelligence Landscape Then v. Now 45:29-51:04 - What This Says About the U.S. 51:05-55:28 - The Future of the Iranian People 55:29-1:00:40 - The Role of the Diaspora 1:00:41-1:06:15 - Q&A: U.S. Policies and the Iranian Diaspora 1:06:16-1:12:35 - Q&A: U.S. Containment Strategy and Venezuela 1:12:36-1:13:27 - Closing Remarks ---- Join our community to receive 24/7 updates on new and original insights into the latest developments and breaking news on national security and foreign policy. Subscribe now to @FDD on YouTube:    / @fdd   Follow FDD on Twitter:   / fdd   Follow FDD on LinkedIn:   / 816544   Follow FDD on Facebook:   / followfdd   FDD Website - https://www.fdd.org/ The Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) is a Washington, DC-based nonpartisan 501(c)(3) research institute focusing on national security and foreign policy. FDD does not accept donations from any foreign governments. FDD conducts in-depth research, produces accurate and timely analyses, identifies illicit activities, and provides policy options – all with the aim of strengthening U.S. national security and reducing or eliminating threats posed by adversaries and enemies of the United States and other free nations. Founded shortly after the attacks of September 11, 2001, FDD conducts actionable research, prepared by experts and scholars from a variety of backgrounds – including government, intelligence, military, private sector, academia, and journalism. It brings proficiency in foreign languages, law, finance, technology, and other skills to its work. FDD regularly provides open-source research and analyses to policymakers and the media. Since its founding, FDD has shared its expertise with the Bush, Obama, Trump, and Biden administrations and congressional offices on a bipartisan basis. In addition to its in-house experts, FDD proudly collaborates with and seeks counsel from a range of distinguished advisors. FDD houses three centers on American power, which include FDD’s Center on Military and Political Power, FDD’s Center on Economic and Financial Power, and FDD’s Center on Cyber and Technology Innovation. FDD Experts: https://www.fdd.org/team/fdd-team FDD Advisors: https://www.fdd.org/team/advisors FDD Centers on American Power: https://www.fdd.org/fdd-centers-on-am...