​Why Everyone is WRONG About MicroStrategy. $705 Price Target is Conservative MSTR STOCK ANALYSIS скачать в хорошем качестве

​Why Everyone is WRONG About MicroStrategy. $705 Price Target is Conservative MSTR STOCK ANALYSIS

​🚀 Quick Summary: The MSTR Paradox ​vs. The Big Puzzle: On October 30, 2025, MicroStrategy (MSTR) reported massive earnings. But a huge paradox remains: Why are some analysts holding a $705 price target (suggesting 160% upside) when the stock is trading way down near $269? ​📊 Price & Volume (Oct 31, 2025): ​MSTR closed up 5.87% (almost 6%) on Friday, Oct 31st, on massive volume of over 13 million shares. ​This surge happened while the general market (NASDAQ) was down 1.6%, showing massive relative strength. ​📰 The News (Q3 2025 Earnings): ​The stock reacted to a huge Q3 earnings beat released on Oct 30th. ​Revenue: $128.7 million, solidly beating the $118 million estimate. ​The Shocker (EPS): MSTR reported a profit of $8.42 per share. ​The Estimate: Analysts were expecting a loss of $0.11 per share. ​The Catch: This "profit" was not from their software business. It was almost entirely a "paper gain" from mark-to-market accounting on their massive Bitcoin holdings, which increased in value during the quarter. ​🏦 The Bull Case (The "Credit Factory"): ​MSTR's identity has shifted from a software company to a Bitcoin investment vehicle. They now hold 640,808 BTC. ​The bull case, which justifies the high targets, is the company's plan to build a "credit factory." ​This means they plan to stop passively holding Bitcoin and start actively using it as pristine collateral to generate yield, offer loans, and create a recurring income stream. ​📉 Conflicting Technicals (The "Bear Case"): ​Despite the earnings pop, the chart looks "textbook bearish." ​The stock (near $269.51) is trading significantly below its 50-day moving average ($321.03) and its 200-day moving average ($347.13). ​It's trading in the "lower neighborhood" of its 52-week range (the low is $220.82). ​The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 38.56, indicating it is "technically oversold." ​🤝 Insiders vs. Institutions: ​This is the core conflict: The "big money" is split, but insiders are selling. ​Institutional Ownership: 59.04% of the stock. ​Institutional Split (Last Quarter): 676 institutions increased their positions, but 432 institutions decreased theirs. ​Insider Selling (Last 6 Months): Insiders have made 110 sales versus only 19 purchases. The CFO and a VP have been actively selling shares. ​❓ The Analyst Paradox: ​The $705 target (from Benchmark) is an outlier, but even bears have high targets. ​BTIG: Trimmed its target from $700 down to $630. ​Cantor Fitzgerald: Lowered its target from $697 down to $560. ​The Median Target for all analysts is still $535. ​🤔 What's Next? ​Short Interest is high at 9.5% of the float, betting against the bull case. ​The core question is: Can the 676 bullish institutions absorb all the shares that insiders and the 432 other institutions are selling? ​Watch these levels: Will MSTR retest its crucial support level near $254, or can it break the 50-day resistance at $321.03? MicroStrategy, MSTR, MSTR stock, MicroStrategy stock analysis, MSTR stock analysis, MSTR earnings, MicroStrategy Q3 2025, Bitcoin, MicroStrategy Bitcoin, $705 MSTR price target, MSTR technical analysis, MSTR insider selling, stock market, investing, stocks to buy, stock analysis, MSTR paradox, Why is MSTR stock down, MSTR $705 target, $8.42 EPS, 640808 BTC, MSTR credit factory