Stress-testing water availability in the Southern Murray-Darling Basin скачать в хорошем качестве

Stress-testing water availability in the Southern Murray-Darling Basin

Register for upcoming free webinars and online training: https://awschool.com.au Slides & Q&A: https://awschool.com.au/webinars/past... One Basin CRC webinars: https://awschool.com.au/webinars/one-... **Chapters** 00:00 - Presenter intros | Welcome to Country 03:45 - Benefit of perfect knowledge | Cone of uncertainty 07:18 - What, why & how of stress test | Data generation across Basin 20:18 - Modelling using statistical model | Stages 24:55 - Summary 27:15 - Emulator models | Indicator sites | Regulated system 30:02 - Sensitivity of MDB inflows & river indicator sites | Flow metrics 36:00 - Long-term targets for indicators 37:49 - Why use these approaches? 39:10 - Q&A 57:55 - Wrap-up *Description** Webinar number 200 Climate change is projected to decrease river flows by 20% in the Murray Darling Basin, however there is a wide range of uncertainty in how this will unfold. This project explores plausible changes to water supply across the southern basin, including spatial and temporal considerations that affect water allocations for irrigation and environmental water use and drive patterns of water trade. In this seminar we will present novel approaches to rapidly understand climate risks to water availability using “stress-testing”.  While we will present results for the Southern Murray Darling Basin, we aim to highlight the benefits of communicating uncertainty in a way that informs decision making by both government agencies and consumptive users.  The overall aim of this project is to provide information about the reliability of different water entitlement products, possible future patterns of water trade, and entitlement robustness under variability and change.