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Rates, Gold & Manhattan—What's the new 2026 Market Telling Us? | Macro Monday! January 5, 2026 The 2026 housing market kicks off with a whimper—not a bang, but that's all to be expected at this seasonally low point. On this Macro Monday, UrbanDigs’ Noah and John break down why macro real estate feels “stuck” and what it will take to restart the engine. From record-low new listings to the long shadow of sub-3% mortgage rates, the team explores the complex dynamics keeping volume down and prices sideways. They also dive into: Credit spreads and what they reveal (or don’t) about risk sentiment Why precious metals are quietly surging AI stocks, market psychology, and the “pain trade” in equities The Fed’s rate cut trajectory—and what normalization really means Why national home prices surged while Manhattan went flat PLUS: Why the return of volume—not price—may be the most important signal for NYC’s next bull market. 📢 Like, comment, and subscribe for real-time insights on NYC housing and macro trends! ✅ Subscribe for weekly updates on NYC real estate & macro trends 🌐 See the latest market insights at UrbanDigs.com 🎧 Catch our podcast: Talking Manhattan.com 👉 Need help pricing your next listing? Learn about the UrbanDigs Advisor program: urbandigs.co ⏱️ Timestamps 0:00 - Introduction & Market Greeting 1:46 - Manhattan Real Estate Volume Overview 6:01 - Mortgage Rates Status & Trends 9:31 - Job Market Impact on Fed Decisions 12:46 - US Pending Home Sales & Volume Trends 16:01 - Causes of Market Slowdown: Interest Rate Shock 19:31 - Mortgage Lock-in Effect & Market Unlocking 22:16 - Regional Home Price Changes & NYC Metro Area Overview 25:01 - Geopolitical Topic: Venezuela Situation & Impact 27:31 - People Leaving NYC? Demographic & Economic Discussion 30:01 - National Housing Price Trends & Manhattan Price Stagnation 32:16 - Closing Remarks & Upcoming Workshop Announcement 👉 A Cut But Mortgage Rates Stuck? What It Means for NYC Real Estate https://www.youtube.com/live/gBNc2QOGnQU 👉 Seasonal Slowdown or Something More? https://www.youtube.com/live/N2guIWdOamY 👉 No, Manhattan Real Estate Did Not Just Fall Off a Cliff https://www.youtube.com/live/VU8evBaz5-o 👉 The “Neutral Rate” Era? What It Means for Real Estate https://www.youtube.com/live/kvQHScWmvsA #manhattanrealestate #nycrealestate #housingmarket2026 #mortgagerates #fedrate #realestatetrends #nychousing #propertymarket #realestateupdate #marketanalysis #realestateinvesting #housingtrends #usjobmarket #creditspreads #pendinghomesales #realestatevolume #realestatepsychology #commercialrealestate #nycmetro #marketoutlook