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Alaska’s biggest oil projects — ConocoPhillips’ Willow and Santos’ Pikka — are pumping billions into development. But the Alaska Department of Revenue’s 25-year forecast reveals a harsh truth: more oil doesn’t mean more revenue. 💰 State production tax income is projected to keep falling, even as oil production rises. 🛢️ Federal lands like Willow bring zero state royalties. 🏦 Production tax credits and deductions delay revenue until most oil is already gone. By 2034, Willow and Pikka could make up half of Alaska’s production — yet contribute less than 25% to the tax base. It’s a system where producers profit while state revenues shrink. The DOR’s latest analysis calls Alaska’s oil tax structure “structurally unsustainable.” Unless reformed, the state could face deeper budget gaps even during an oil boom. 🔔 Subscribe for more Alaska economy, energy, and policy explainers. #shortsvideo #alaskaeconomy #alaskanews PikkaProject #OilTax #alaskanews