WT360 Weather Brief 7 Feb 26 February Thaw скачать в хорошем качестве

WT360 Weather Brief 7 Feb 26 February Thaw

7 Feb '26: Happy Saturday :) Another frigid day here at wt360 HQ in Bethlehem PA with 22 of the past 23 days trending much below average and we have 10 straight more days below average. This 30 day stretch is the coldest in over 50 years! These cold trends will be a theme in 2026, especially this Spring with a weather cycle rapidly transitioning to an El Niño cycle. The sub-surface ocean temperatures across the Pacific Ocean show a rapid warming cycle indicating a fast onset to El Niño this Spring. Let's ask the wt360 AI robot about how these cold trends will impact energy consumption over the next year. Unfortunately, if you're January utility bill shocked you, February and March will be equally bad with continued overall cold conditions and +25% more consumption in New York City as an example. Now let's ask how December 2026 will trend. The stormier pattern more likely to start in the Western half of the U.S., much earlier than this past year. Heavy snow will be more common with the El Nino pattern helping to boost U.S. December snowfall trends to the highest levels in 9 years. Christmas week 2026 looks to be much colder, trending the coldest in 4 years nationally. Last Week (1-7 Feb) across the World for the start of Q1 shows the U.S. trending -6.5F colder than last year, coldest in 3 years and 13th coldest of the past 41 years. But it was a tale of two halves with the East Coats trending the coldest in over 41 years with historic 100 year cold in the Southeast. Snowfall was down -47% vs LY, while Rainfall was down -58% and driest in 9 years. These remain unfavorable trends for store traffic East, better with the warmer/drier conditions West. Europe was the coldest in 7 years. It remains very wet in Brazil - great for their crops but could impact harvesting conditions. Season-to-date Snowfall is trending +33% more than last year for the U.S. overall, most in 9 years and 20th most of the past 41 years. Most of that is in the East with the Western U.S. trending the least snow in over 41 years. Snow cover this morning stood at 28% of the U.S. covered in snow. Notice the big shift from the snowy conditions last year in the Northwest but much less this year. U.S. weekly snowfall trends show a drier February pattern through midmonth, but this is subject to change with short range models differing on the potential for a bigger snow storm over the next 7-10 days in the East. Cold sub-freezing days across the U.S. continued to increase with +4% more than last year, most in 5 years but still 14th least in 41 years. This Valentine's Day week (8-14 Feb) shows a more transient pattern with cold and snow moving into the West, big warm up in the Central U.S. but still cold in the Northeast. The week overall trends +8.9F warmer than last year, warmest in 3 years and 5th warmest of the past 41 years. Snowfall down -78% vs LY, least in 3 years and 4th least in 41 years, while rainfall is down -65%, driest in 4 years and 12th driest in 41 years. These are much more favorable trends for store traffic that took a major hit the past few weeks. The 6-day snowfall outlook shows 45% of the U.S. getting some light snow, but overall, the least snow for this period in 3 years. TBD if there is a bigger storm developing in the East closer to the Valentine's Day weekend and or the days after. Next week (15-21 Feb) President's Day weekend shows much colder and snowier weather finally moving into the West which will spur demand for Winter seasonal items that have been very slow to move this season. The warmth in the East a little misleading as that's mostly the morning low temps with daytime highs closer to average even a bit below with the snowpack and heavy Great Lakes ice coverage keeping it a bit cooler in the NE. But, after the frigid conditions the past few weeks, normal temps will feel like a much needed Thaw. TBD on whether a big storm in the Southeast will have just enough cold air for a snowstorm on the northern fringe as it heads into the Northeast. Rainfall is up +44% and most in 5 years which can dampen store traffic despite the milder trends. The World 2-week Temperature (8-21 Feb) outlook shows split Polar Vortex keeping the cold over Alaska and Northern Europe. The Polar Vortex does appear to become a bit stronger and more organized through the 3rd week of February keeping the U.S. milder, but it does appear to get weaker again for late Feb into much of March which would usher in more cold and snow. The World 2-week Precipitation (8-21 Feb) outlook shows a stormier pattern developing in the U.S., very stormy across Europe for the Olympics and continued wet in Brazil. Australia also very wet for their late summer period. You can get this blog/video in your email inbox every Saturday (FREE) via subscription. Have a great week ahead. Captain Kirk out (USAF Gulf War Veteran 1989-1999)