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Emergency Update on Iran with Norman Roule

With two U.S. carrier strike groups converging on Iran and a presidential deadline looming, the clock is ticking. In this urgent episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher — Senior Director for Intelligence at the Special Competitive Studies Project (SCSP) — sits down with Norman Roule, former National Intelligence Manager for Iran at ODNI, to assess what may be one of the most consequential moments in U.S.-Iran relations in decades. They cover the prospect of diplomacy amidst the ongoing Geneva talks, the evolution of the Iranian regime’s domestic standing, and the broader state of regional stability in the Middle East. A veteran of the Central Intelligence Agency with over three decades of service, Norman Roule spearheaded senior operations across the Middle East before serving nearly ten years as the National Intelligence Manager for Iran at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI). 🔔 Subscribe for more expert intelligence and national security analysis from SCSP. 00:00 – Introduction: Emergency Podcast on the Iran Situation 00:40 – Guest Introduction: Norm Roule’s CIA and Intelligence Background 01:25 – Announcement: AI Plus Intelligence Summit at the Waldorf Astoria 02:03 – Current Military Posture: Carrier Strike Groups and Aircraft Deployment 02:28 – The Diplomatic Inflection Point and March Deadlines 03:38 – Core Issues: Iran’s Nuclear Program and Enrichment Deals 05:31 – U.S. Demands: Missiles and the "Axis of Resistance" 07:56 – Iran’s Missile Arsenal and ICBM Capabilities 08:33 – Upcoming Geneva Talks and Potential for Miscalculation 10:51 – Evaluating Potential U.S. Military Strikes and Iranian Retaliation 14:06 – Degradation of Hezbollah, Hamas, and Iranian Ballistic Assets 16:03 – Diplomacy vs. Military Action: What Compels Tehran to Negotiate? 18:44 – Regime Stability: Domestic Protests and Internal Pressures 20:54 – Outlook: How the Next Two Weeks Will Play Out 25:22 – Regional Dynamics: Shifting U.S. Commitments and Middle East Change 30:25 – Closing Remarks and Future Updates