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I calculate the budget for the average Russian, that is Ivan Ivanovich. I have been tracking this for 1.5 years based on user input Numbeo data. This is evidence of a severe negative cash flow and a budget crisis in Russia. With a high confidence level I can claim, there is a low probability this can be sustained. The numbers tell the story. Income: $570 per month Expenses: Rent (outside city center) $337.71 Utilities $93.33 Internet & Phone $13.34 Food $266.67 Transportation $26.67 Clothing & Personal Items $66.67 Entertainment & Subscriptions $40 VPN $10 Health Insurance $67 Dental Checkups & Basic Care $6 Medications (basic) $40 Loan Repayment (moderate loan) $100 Car Expenses (if applicable) $100-$200 Emergency Fund/Savings $67 Total Monthly Expenses (without car): $1,208.39 Total Monthly Expenses (with car): $1,308.39 – $1,408.39 The Result: Negative CashFlow of over $700 dollars does not sound like much but with a base income of $570 and limit access to consumer credit this is a cashflow crisis for people living in Russian. If you aggregate this, this is reasonable evidence that the Russian economy is imploding on itself.