How to end the War? Ukraine: Neutral status or NATO! Limits of US support & The "Porcupine" strategy скачать в хорошем качестве

How to end the War? Ukraine: Neutral status or NATO! Limits of US support & The "Porcupine" strategy

In the new issue of the "Dialogues" program, political scientist, director of the Ukrainian Institute of Politics Ruslan Bortnik and senior researcher, director of military analysis of the American analytical center Defense Priorities – Jennifer Cavanagh. We analyze in detail the security architecture of the future and realistic scenarios for ending the war. Why are promises of NATO membership and Article 5 a dangerous illusion for Ukraine? Where is the line between real help and Washington's "empty words"? Neutral status or security guarantees: why are these concepts not contradictory? What was the West's main diplomatic mistake in 2021? The "Porcupine" strategy: how can Ukraine create an army that Russia will be afraid to attack again? Resource limit: when will the US and Europe run out of money and weapons to support? Real compromises: what concessions can the Kremlin make and what is acceptable for Kyiv? Why is the presence of foreign troops on the territory of Ukraine a risk, not protection? Jennifer Kavanagh – Senior Fellow & Director of Military Analysis in Defense Priorities. A political scientist, Kavanagh has spent her career studying U.S. national security and defense policy. Kavanagh’s research focuses on U.S. military strategy, force structure and defense budgeting, the defense industrial base, and U.S. military deployments and interventions. Previously, Kavanagh was a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. She also worked as a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation, served for three years as director of RAND’s Army Strategy program. Her work has been published in Foreign Affairs, The New York Times, Foreign Policy, Journal of Conflict Resolution, The Washington Quarterly, Lawfare, Los Angeles Times, and War on the Rocks, among other outlets. Recently, Jennifer Kavanagh has focused on the Ukrainian-Russian war and potential peaceful solutions. X (Twitter): @jekavanagh LinkedIn: Jennifer Kavanagh Profile at Defense Priorities: defensepriorities.org/experts/jennifer-kavanagh 00:00 — Jennifer Kavanaugh. Who she is and why her perspective on Ukraine matters. 01:49 — Help or Illusion? The Danger of Unrealistic U.S. Promises 03:22 — Article 5 for Ukraine? Why NATO Language Is Risky 05:27 — The Roots of War: NATO Expansion or Imperial Logic? 08:58 — The Point of No Return: What Happened in 2021? 12:58 — Battlefield Reality: Stalemate, Slow Advances, and Rising Costs 15:35 — Western Fatigue: Are the U.S. and Europe Reaching the Limit? 18:22 — Negotiations or Escalation? What Signals to Watch 20:38 — The Hardest Questions: Territory, Guarantees & Red Lines 23:31 — The “Minimal Deal”: Ceasefire, Demilitarized Zone & Security Model 40:53 — The Porcupine Strategy Explained: 300,000 Troops & Defensive Power 46:11 — Can Ukraine Deter Without NATO? The Real Goal of “Porcupine” Defense Ruslan Bortnik Head of the Ukrainian Institute of Politics (think-tank situated in Kyiv, Ukraine). For more than 11 years he worked in the civil service as a consultant in the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine. Co-author of more than 250 parliamentary bills (40 adopted), authors of more than 5,000 comments and publications in the media, 6 books. "The Best Political Expert" of Ukraine in 2020 according to the "Celebrity Awards", III-place in the nomination "Political Scientist" in 2020 and 2021 according to the Association of Professional Political Consultants of Ukraine Русскоязычный канал Руслана Бортника -    / ruslanbortnik   Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?... Watch more videos:    / bortnik_channel   #Bortnik #Geopolitics #Analytics #GlobalAffairs #InternationalRelations #GlobalPolitics #ForeignPolicy #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineConflict #NATO #BreakingNews #Analysis #Explained #DeepDive #TrendingNow #USPolitics #donbass #Donetsk #StandWithUkraine #UkraineUnderAttack #UkraineFrontlines #UkraineWarUpdate #UkrainePeaceTalks #UkraineCeaasefire #UkraineNATO #UkraineEU #UkraineAid #RuslanBortnik