Why Should the Indo-Pacific Care About War in the Middle East? | with Zack Cooper скачать в хорошем качестве

Why Should the Indo-Pacific Care About War in the Middle East? | with Zack Cooper

In this episode, hosts Ray Powell and Jim Carouso welcome back Zack Cooper, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and professor at Princeton University, to examine how recent U.S. military strikes in Iran impact deterrence dynamics across the Indo-Pacific region. Iran Strikes and China Deterrence: Cooper argues that U.S. strikes against Iran may actually strengthen deterrence against China by demonstrating American unpredictability. Chinese officials had reportedly viewed Trump as a "paper tiger" following trade negotiations, but the Iran strikes have forced Beijing to recalculate its assumptions about U.S. willingness to use force in a Taiwan crisis. Alliance Management Under Pressure: The conversation explores growing tensions in U.S. Indo-Pacific alliances as the Trump administration links trade negotiations to security commitments. Cooper expresses concern that threatened tariffs and demands for increased defense spending could undermine alliance relationships, particularly with South Korea, Japan, and Australia. Nuclear Proliferation Concerns: The panel discusses alarming implications for nuclear proliferation in the Indo-Pacific, with Cooper warning that recent events may accelerate desires for independent nuclear capabilities among regional allies. The setback to Iran's nuclear program paradoxically demonstrates both the risks and benefits of pursuing nuclear weapons. Regional Defense Architecture: Cooper critically examines Eli Ratner's proposal for an Indo-Pacific defense pact (the "Squad" - U.S., Japan, Australia, Philippines), arguing that formal defense agreements may be premature given current political realities in allied capitals. He suggests focusing on operational cooperation and interoperability instead. India-Pakistan Lessons: The recent India-Pakistan border conflict provides valuable insights for Indo-Pacific military planning, with Cooper noting that Indian air operations were largely successful despite Pakistani use of Chinese-supplied air defense systems. Information Warfare Challenges: As chairman of the Open Technology Fund, Cooper discusses ongoing efforts to maintain internet freedom tools like Signal and VPN access in authoritarian countries, despite Trump administration attempts to shut down U.S. Agency for Global Media operations. Strategic Implications: Cooper emphasizes that while Middle East conflicts may seem distant from Indo-Pacific concerns, they fundamentally shape how regional powers assess American resolve and commitment. The unpredictability doctrine may serve deterrence purposes, but creates significant challenges for alliance management and strategic planning. ✉️ E-mail us at [email protected] with your questions and comments! 👉 New episodes released on Friday 👉 Audio available on all streaming services 👉 Follow on X: https://x.com/IndoPacPodcast 👉 Follow on LinkedIn:   / why-should-we-care-about-the-indo-pacific   👉 Follow on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/indopacpodca... Sponsored by BowerGroupAsia, a strategic advisory firm that specializes in the Indo-Pacific. Visit: https://bowergroupasia.com