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THE FINAL WARNING: Strait of Hormuz Goes Dark — Is the U.S. on the Brink of War? February 2026. For the first time in decades, Iran moves to shut down the Strait of Hormuz — the narrow waterway responsible for nearly one-third of global seaborne oil shipments. On the same day, U.S. officials signal a 90% probability of military action. Behind closed doors in Geneva, advisers to Donald Trump meet Iranian representatives. Publicly, both sides speak of “guiding principles.” Privately, red lines remain unchanged. Zero enrichment versus non-negotiable enrichment. No middle ground. Meanwhile: • Two U.S. carrier strike groups move into the region • The USS Gerald R. Ford enters strike range • Stealth bombers and missile defense systems deploy • Iran accelerates construction at the underground Pickaxe Mountain site near Natanz • Oil markets brace for disruption If Hormuz closes — even briefly — oil could spike toward $150–$200 per barrel. Gas prices could double. Markets could drop 20–30% in days. In this episode, we break down: • What really happened at the Geneva talks • Why the Strait of Hormuz closure is a strategic signal • The military buildup most Americans don’t see • The underground nuclear race happening at Pickaxe Mountain • The four realistic paths forward — from diplomacy to regional war • The economic consequences for American households This is not speculation. This is balance-of-power analysis, logistics, oil flow math, and military positioning. The next two weeks may determine whether this ends in compromise — or becomes the most consequential U.S. military operation since Iraq. Stay informed. Stay sharp. ⚠️ Educational analysis only. Not political advocacy. #FinanceExplained #MoneyExplained #FinancialStorytelling #EconomicHistory #MarketPsychology