Weekly Market Update: Big Earnings & Rate Cuts in 2026? (Oct 17 2025) скачать в хорошем качестве

Weekly Market Update: Big Earnings & Rate Cuts in 2026? (Oct 17 2025)

Weekly Market Update — S&P Rebound, VIX, Gold/Silver, Crypto, Rates & Earnings. From macro to setups: Friday’s tariff shock, S&P 500 closing back above the 20-EMA, VIX ~19, metals momentum (gold at 2011/2019-style RSI; silver at cycle highs), crypto’s record selloff (still above 20-EMA), bonds/rates path into 2026, and earnings breadth (78% beats)—plus what I’m watching this week (Fed speech, retail sales, ASML/TSMC). ▶️ Watch Next on my channel to level up your edge in the markets:    • Stock Analysis: Valuation & Price Targets   (Valuation, Earnings, Estimates, Comps, Fundamentals, Technical Analysis)    • Weekly Market Updates: Stocks, Bonds, Cryp...   (Stocks, Bonds, Crypto, Commodities, Volatility) What you’ll learn -S&P 500: big move, 20-EMA reclaim, how I’m reading VIX ~19 -Metals: gold/silver momentum vs. pullback risk (RSI, 20-MA reaction) -Crypto: largest single-day selloff yet support holds (20-EMA) -Rates & bonds: 10-yr near 4%, path toward 2026 cuts & liquidity -Earnings: breadth, AI leaders/laggards, why concentration matters -My plan: key levels, catalysts, and how I’ll adjust positions Timestamps 0:00 Why this week matters — tariffs, big move, framework 0:26 Price leads fundamentals — S&P range day & 20-EMA 0:54 Continuation or chop? — what prior MA breaks did 1:25 Volatility (VIX ~19) — signal vs. panic 2:11 Gold & Silver — RSI extremes, 20-MA reaction to watch 3:35 Crypto — record selloff, 20-EMA hold, next test 3:55 Bonds & rates — 10-yr near 4%, 2025–26 path 5:20 S&P EPS — NTM trend vs. price, revision risks 6:10 Q3 earnings so far — beat rates, key names (ASML/TSMC) 7:00 Valuation — forward P/E vs. 5/10-yr avg, AI tailwinds 7:50 NASDAQ concentration — AI leaders vs underperformers 8:45 Sentiment — Fear & Greed (stocks/crypto), signals 9:20 Week ahead — Fed speech, retail sales; what I’m watching Key Insights 📉 Volatility and Tariffs: The S&P 500’s sharp 3% intraday move following the announcement of 100% tariffs on China was significant, yet the VIX volatility index did not spike to panic levels, suggesting the market is digesting the news without selling off aggressively. 🪙 Gold and Silver Price Discovery Phase: Gold is nearing critical historical RSI levels that previously marked market tops (e.g., 2011), while silver is hitting generational highs beyond past cycle peaks. The key determinant will be whether gold can hold above its 20-week moving average during any correction, signaling continued strength, or if it breaks below, possibly triggering a larger decline. 💻 NASDAQ’s heavy weighting in a handful of AI technology giants (Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, Broadcom): Currently, half of the top eight large-cap AI stocks are underperforming relative to the index, posing a risk that if the strong performers follow suit, broader market weakness could ensue. 📉 Interest Rate Expectations and Market Liquidity: The market currently prices a high probability of interest rates stabilizing or slightly declining in early 2026, with a 90% chance rates will fall between 3.5% and 3.75%. Lower rates would reduce borrowing costs for companies, increase liquidity, and potentially fuel higher earnings and stock prices. 💰 Strong Earnings Growth Amid Elevated Valuations: Despite valuations approaching price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios near the 2020 peak of 23x, robust earnings growth, particularly driven by AI-related technology companies, supports the current market environment and shows that elevated P/E ratios can persist for extended periods. 🪙 Crypto Resilience Despite Historic Selloff: The cryptocurrency market experienced its largest single-day drop ever but still managed to close above the 20-day moving average, indicating that buyers stepped in to support prices. 📊 Sentiment Indicators as Market Timing Tools: Historical extremes in the Fear and Greed indices have corresponded with meaningful market turning points, making them valuable tools for investors seeking to identify entry and exit points. Resources mentioned • S&P 500 earnings/EPS dashboards (NTM trends) • CME FedWatch — rate path probabilities • VIX and SPX technicals (20-EMA references) • Earnings calendar • Fear & Greed indices (equities & crypto) 👍 If you enjoyed watching, subscribe for more forward-looking analysis (not news recaps). I share my top-down context with individual price action setups and clear valuation targets so you know what moves the markets. #stocks #gold #bitcoin #VIX #silver #bonds #marketupdate #priceaction DISCLAIMER The information contained in this video is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions. The views expressed are my own and may include opinions, estimates, and projections that do not guarantee future results.