The Fourth Turning: Prophecy or Pattern-Matching? | Howe & Strauss скачать в хорошем качестве

The Fourth Turning: Prophecy or Pattern-Matching? | Howe & Strauss

In 1997, two Washington consultants predicted a crisis on the scale of WWII — and gave America a deadline. That deadline has passed. Were they prophets, or just very good at being vague? The Fourth Turning: Generational Theory Across Three Decades by Neil Howe & William Strauss Books covered in this series: Generations (1991) The Fourth Turning (1997) The Fourth Turning Is Here (2023) Full Playlist (14 Lessons): L01: The Fourth Turning Prediction: What They Got Right, What They Got Wrong, and Why It Matters L02: The 80-Year Cycle: Ancient Wisdom or Modern Astrology? L03: The Four Generational Archetypes: Science or Horoscope? L04: The Gray Champion: Prophecy, Self-Flattery, or Both? L05: How Institutions Die: The Unraveling Nobody Notices L06: You Are Not Your Generation: The Danger of Collective Identity L07: The Cycle That Broke: The Civil War Anomaly L08: The Generation History Forgot: Gen X as the Expendable Generation L09: Millennials Were Supposed to Save the World — What Happened? L10: The Generation That Never Got a President L11: The Most Dangerous Sentence in Generational Theory L12: From Framework to Fortune: Cross-Book Autopsy Over 32 Years L13: Corporate Astrology: The $70M Generational Consulting Industry L14: When the Author Revises History: 1997 vs. 2023 Contradictions Chapters: 0:00 Introduction 2:22 Unfalsifiability is the absolute hallmark of pseudoscience 4:52 Strauss and Howe brought an essential outside perspective 7:52 This is arguably their most glaring methodological sin, and it 10:20 Effectively shook hands to build the suburban middle class 13:20 Doesn't dictate the response 16:20 He made the 2010 documentary Generation Zero based entirely explicitly 19:16 It completely failed during the Civil War 19:31 During the single most destructive, consequential, and bloody 22:11 Final Thoughts Generations (1991): Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/0688119123 The Fourth Turning (1997): Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/0767900464 Audible: https://www.audible.com/pd/The-Fourth... The Fourth Turning Is Here (2023): Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/0593541367 Audible: https://www.audible.com/pd/The-Fourth... Full Playlist:    • The Fourth Turning: Generational Theory Ac...   If you know someone who'd find this interesting, share the playlist:    • The Fourth Turning: Generational Theory Ac...   A like and subscribe costs you nothing but helps us more than you'd think. We appreciate it. #NeilHowe #WilliamStrauss #TheFourthTurning #BookAnalysis #Education