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Toppling the leader of Venezuela looks to be about greed and Trump's vanity. It's not about national security, and is likely to produce bad outcomes—including more repression of ordinary Venezuelans and more refugees fleeing the country. And even the monetary value of plundering a sovereign country's oil is vastly overstated. Meanwhile, fake imagery of Venezuelans celebrating in response to the US intervention are being shared across social media, and a polymarket bet before the strike smacks of insider trading. Plus, the idiocy of the Donroe Doctrine, JD Vance should shut up, Tim Walz was not ready for national politics, Hegseth looks like a total dork over the censure of Mark Kelly, and Tim reads from the Monday Mailbag. Bill Kristol joins Tim Miller. Show Notes: Will Saletan's guide on the other countries Trump could target: https://open.substack.com/pub/thebulw... Monday's "Morning Shots," including Mark Hertling on the "belly-button rule": https://open.substack.com/pub/thebulw... Tim’s 2025 Music Year in Review: https://open.substack.com/pub/thebulw... Get 60% off your first order, plus free shipping, when you head to https://Smalls.com/THEBULWARK Go to https://helixsleep.com/Bulwark for 27% Off Sitewide Start your new morning ritual & get up to 43% off your @MUDWTR with code THEBULWARK at https://mudwtr.com/THEBULWARK! #mudwtrpod Become a Bulwark Youtube Plus Member here - / @bulwarkmedia Chapters: 00:00:00 Intro 00:01:27 Maduro is awful, but this is still insane 00:06:45 Ad break: MudWtr 00:08:25 What a competent plan would sound like (and Trump’s reality) 00:13:10 Democrats’ response + Seth Moulton’s blunt messaging 00:18:46 Panama/Noriega as a (limited) comparison 00:26:45 “Monroe Doctrine” threats: Colombia, Mexico, Greenland backlash risks 00:30:51 Ad break: Helix 00:32:40 What’s the actual plan for Venezuela? 00:40:03 Ad break: Smalls 00:41:46 2020 fraud conspiracies, Venezuela, and tech/insider criming 00:47:12 Tim Walz won’t run again 00:51:07 Pentagon targets Mark Kell 00:55:06 JD Vance sidelined, defensive posting, and Rubio rivalry 00:58:20 Triumphal arch in DC 00:01:00:26 New York’s new mayor: housing push vs “warmth of collectivism” 00:01:05:34 Wrap-up + Bulwark Plus mailbag preview