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On February 26, 2026, Deutsche Bank published a research note that immediately caught the attention of institutional commodities desks across New York, London, and Hong Kong. The 3-month silver risk reversal — a professional options metric that measures how aggressively traders are paying for upside exposure versus downside protection — just hit a 20-year high. The last time this signal reached similar extremes was during the mid-2000s, before silver entered one of the most explosive bull runs in modern market history. This is not retail enthusiasm.This is not social media speculation.This is the derivatives market itself pricing asymmetric upside risk. In this breakdown, we examine: • What a 3-month risk reversal actually measures• Why a 20-year extreme matters structurally• How dealer gamma hedging can mechanically accelerate price moves• Why Deutsche Bank’s $100 year-end target may already be conservative• The role of the gold-silver ratio compression• How COMEX delivery dynamics could amplify volatility• What physical tightness in Shanghai and London means for price discovery References: 1. Investing.com. (2026, February 26). *This is where Deutsche Bank sees silver prices ending the year*. https://ca.investing.com/news/commodi... 2. NAI500. (2025, December 7). *Dethroning Gold? Silver Emerges as the Hottest Metal Trade for 2026*. https://nai500.com/blog/2025/12/dethr... 3. Investing.com Philippines. (2026, February 26). *This is where Deutsche Bank sees silver prices ending the year*. https://ph.investing.com/news/commodi... 4. J.P. Morgan Global Research. (2026, February 9). *How Will Silver Prices Fare in 2026?*. https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/glo... 5. XTB. (2026, January 29). *Silver surges a record 65% in a month as institutions continue to cut positions*. https://www.xtb.com/cy/market-analysi... 6. Shanghai Metals Market (SMM). (2026, February 5). *Silver Market Price Review and Expectations Brief Commentary (February 5, 2026)*. https://news.metal.com/pt/newscontent... 7. CNBC TV18. (2026, February 17). *Gold favoured over silver, copper likely to stay under pressure: Saxobank's Ole Hansen*. https://www.cnbctv18.com/market/commo... 8. Deriv. (2026, February 5). *Why Silver's 30% crash is shaking global markets*. https://deriv.com/blog/posts/silver-c... 9. The Business Times. (2026, February 11). *China's big silver squeeze persists even as prices steady*. https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/comp... 10. CME Group. *Silver Futures Quotes*. Retrieved February 28, 2026, from https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/meta...