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The global economic fallout from the Middle East war is still emerging, but things are not looking good. It's a conundrum for the Federal Government, who is trying to navigate the economic storm ahead of the May budget. Independent economist Chris Richardson joins Melissa Clarke for this week's On Background. 0:00 Welcome 0:44 Chris Richardson 1:00 How big is this economic crisis? 4.00 How high could inflation go? 5:13 Consumer sentiment is down. 6:30 'The petrol price is the equivalent of three rate rises.' 10:20 Chris Richardson says there'll be a fascinating tug-of-war in Canberra' in the lead up to the budget. 12:30 Who pays? Business, Government or families? 15:15 "Never waste a good crisis": Chris Richardson says the Treasurer is right to be thinking about reform. 18:30 "We have had a long period of drift." 18:49 Goodbye Subscribe: https://ab.co/3yqPOZ5 Welcome to ABC News In-depth, where you'll find our long-form journalism and other videos to help you understand what's going on in the world around you. Watch more ABC News content ad-free on ABC iview: https://ab.co/2OB7Mk1 For more from ABC News, click here: https://ab.co/2kxYCZY Get breaking news and livestreams from our ABC News channel: / newsonabc Like ABC News on Facebook: / abcnews.au Follow ABC News on Instagram: / abcnews_au Follow ABC News on Twitter: / abcnews Note: In most cases, our captions are auto-generated. #ABCNewsIndepth #ABCNewsAustralia