No Third Path: Recalibrate or Become Brittle скачать в хорошем качестве

No Third Path: Recalibrate or Become Brittle

Reliability has collapsed in global politics — and when reliability collapses, states stop planning around values and start planning around insurance. Strong states hedge quietly. Weak states hedge loudly, and end up trapped. In this episode, I explain why Pakistan is not hedging — Pakistan is making itself available. Functionally drifting into a UAE–Israel ecosystem, flirting with “peace-board” style client structures, negotiating survival like a subscription renewal, and walking into regional pressure without leverage. Then we layer the India factor: India has completed its alignment loop — proximity to Washington, engagement with Europe, managed signals with China — and Pakistan helped shrink a crucial cushion by allowing the China–India gap to narrow. That changes the entire strategic geometry. And when the external geometry changes, terrorism stops being “internal.” It becomes a regional instrument: funding routes, facilitation routes, narrative labels like ISIS/Daesh that absorb blame without triggering retaliation. Attack, arrests, a name, condolences, denials — and the pipeline continues. Finally, I bring it back to the real conflict inside Pakistan: not PTI vs PML-N, but personal thinking versus institutional survival. Because control is not stability. Legitimacy is. And brittle systems here don’t crack slowly — they break suddenly. #FourthPillarPostEnglish #Pakistan #Geopolitics #WorldOrder #ReliabilityCrisis #StrategicHedging #ForeignPolicy #UAE #Israel #SaudiArabia #Turkey #Qatar #Iran #Trump #India #Modi #China #EuropeanUnion #Brussels #Washington #MiddleEast #Gaza #Libya #PeaceBoard #ClientState #NationalSecurity #CounterTerrorism #ISIS #Daesh #Terrorism #HybridWar #Balochistan #KPK #Governance #Legitimacy #PoliticalCrisis #CivilMilitary #InstitutionalSurvival #PowerPolitics #NarrativeWar #RegionalMapping #IMF #Debt #Rollover #StrategicDepth #StrategicShrinkage #Resistance #Coercion #StateStability #SouthAsia #CurrentAffairs