Paulo Macro: "Get Your Helmet on and Strap In" скачать в хорошем качестве

Paulo Macro: "Get Your Helmet on and Strap In"

In this special episode of Talking Markets, Paulo Macro joined Maggie Lake to unpack the chaos in global markets. From extreme volatility and crumbling investor confidence to troubling signals from the bond and currency markets, Paolo shares what’s worrying him most — and why cash might be the smartest position right now. They dive into the potential unraveling of US exceptionalism, capital flows out of US assets, the EM rotation debate, and why Paulo is watching the long end of the bond market like a hawk. Paolo also explores what could go right: how a strong policy reset might revive US competitiveness, why emerging markets like Brazil still look compelling, and the scenarios that could bring markets back from the brink. Plus: is MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin bet a ticking time bomb? And how does this all stack up against past cycles? Recorded at 11:00am ET, April 10, 2025 Follow Paulo on Substack here: https://substack.com/@paulomacro 🔔 Hit that subscribe button and join the conversation in the comments. Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Timestamps 00:00 - Introduction with Paolo Macro 00:50 - Confidence Crisis and Market Volatility 02:30 - Trading Emotional Whiplash in a Fragile Market 05:00 - Is This the Start of a Longer Bear Market? 08:00 - Relief Rallies vs. Structural Risk 10:30 - Bond Market Breakdown and What It’s Signaling 14:00 - The Dollar’s Decline and Foreign Capital Flight 18:00 - U.S. Equities: Overvalued and Overowned? 21:00 - Can Policy Execution Salvage Market Sentiment? 25:00 - Supply Chains, Tariffs, and Business Confidence 30:00 - Will EM Assets Survive the Deleveraging Storm? 34:00 - Bitcoin, MicroStrategy, and the Risk of Collapse 39:00 - What Market Signals to Watch Closely Right Now 44:00 - Why Long Bonds May Be the Most Important Risk Indicator 46:10 - Final Thoughts and Looking Ahead #economy #marketanalysis #talkshow #marketsentiment #investing #macro #macroeconomics #podcast #talkingmarkets #maggielake #tariffs #bonds #bessent #deficit #treasury #dollar #rates #economy #marketanalysis #investing #stockmarket #investing #tariffs #investmentstrategy #talkshow #podcast #tradingopportunities #marketopportunities #liquidity #confidence #cycles #Brazil