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🔥 FREE GUIDE: Avoid the 7 Critical Home Investment Mistakes destroying buyers right now: http://australiahousing.carrd.co Sydney house prices are forecast to reach $1.92 million by the end of 2026. At the same time, 28% of Sydney mortgage holders are under financial stress — the highest level since 1995. This video explains why both of those things are true simultaneously, and what the mechanism underneath them means for homeowners, investors, and anyone watching this market. The trigger for this analysis is a specific event: 5,700 banking sector layoffs across ANZ, Westpac, NAB, and CBA, concentrated in Sydney's Barangaroo and George Street financial district. These aren't average job losses. The people affected carry average mortgages of $1.65 million and face a refinancing block under new APRA serviceability guidelines — a debt-to-income cap and payslip requirements that make refinancing mathematically impossible without active employment income. We walk through the exact numbers: the severance timeline, the monthly burn rate, and why Q3 2026 is the point at which the first wave of forced listings is likely to peak. This video also covers the supply side of the Sydney market — why 60,000 annual apartment completions against a structural demand of 75,000 to 85,000 keeps prices elevated even during periods of broad financial stress. We look at the seniors downsizing block, the RBA rate cut transmission failure caused by APRA tightening, the dual market split between premium and entry-level segments, and what the assignment sales data — up 110% year-on-year — is signalling before it shows up in headline price figures. All data in this video comes from primary sources: RBA, APRA, Domain, Roy Morgan, CBRE, S&P Global, and official bank announcements. No speculation presented as fact. No political commentary. SOURCES & REFERENCES RBA Statement on Monetary Policy — February 2026 https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/s... RBA Governor Michele Bullock — Media Conference February 2026 https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2026/... Domain House Price Report — January 2026 https://insight.domain.com.au/researc... Domain Housing Forecast Report — 2026 https://insight.domain.com.au/researc... Roy Morgan Mortgage Stress Survey — December 2025 https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10... ANZ Group — 3,500 Layoffs Announcement (Reuters, September 2025) Westpac Project Unite — 1,500 Job Cuts (Reuters, May 2025) https://www.reuters.com/sustainabilit... NAB — 410 Job Cuts Announcement https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/nab... APRA Residential Mortgage Lending Serviceability Guidelines NSW Government Housing Supply Forecast — Forecast Insights https://www.planning.nsw.gov.au/data-... SQM Research — Sydney Rental Vacancy Rates https://sqmresearch.com.au/graph_vaca... S&P Global — Australian RMBS Arrears Data (Q4 2025) CBRE — Sydney Apartment Completions and Housing Supply 2026 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult qualified professionals before making investment decisions. #realestate #nsw #australia #victoria #melbourne For any questions or content inquiries, you can write to me at: australiahousingreport@gmail.com Disclaimer: We’re real estate enthusiasts—not licensed agents, appraisers, or financial advisors. All content is based on publicly available data, market observations, and personal opinions, and is shared for entertainment and general information only. Accuracy isn’t guaranteed. Always consult a qualified real estate professional, attorney, or financial advisor before making any property, investment, or relocation decisions.This video provides fact-based analysis without political bias—just economics, data, and real-world impact on families, developers, and the construction industry.