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🔴 URGENT: In 72 hours, China returns to the gold market after 8 days closed for Lunar New Year. They're coming back to $4,990 gold - the SAME price they left. But what they decide next will determine if gold crashes to $4,850 or explodes past $5,100. ⏰ TIMING IS CRITICAL • Tuesday Feb 24: China markets reopen • Friday Feb 27: COMEX March First Notice Day • Only 5 trading days between these events 📊 WHAT YOU'LL LEARN: ✅ Why China's return is the MOST IMPORTANT event before first notice ✅ The 2 scenarios: Bull case ($5,100+) vs Bear case ($4,850) ✅ What happened while China was away ($178 gold crash + recovery) ✅ 4 key metrics to watch Tuesday morning (SGE premiums, volume, yuan prices) ✅ How to position for COMEX delivery squeeze ✅ Real probability analysis: 30-35% bullish, 30-35% bearish, 35-40% middle 🚨 MARKET DATA BREAKDOWN: • Gold left at $5,040 → returning to $4,990 • Silver crashed from $74.51 to $72.62, now at $78.47 • COMEX: 102M oz registered vs 366M oz open interest (3.59:1 ratio) • Silver lease rates at 6.3% = PHYSICAL SHORTAGE SIGNAL • BHP $4.3B silver deal at exact bottom = SMART MONEY BUYING 💰 POSITIONING GUIDE: Physical Holders: Hold through volatility Futures Traders: Tuesday is decision day (long above $5,000, short below $4,937) ETF Investors: Add GLD/SLV on breakout, wait for $4,850-4,900 if China cautious ⚠️ WHY THIS MATTERS: China = World's largest gold consumer (1,100+ tons in 2025) China = World's largest silver consumer (solar, EVs, 5G, electronics) Shanghai Gold Exchange = Largest physical gold exchange globally When China buys → prices UP. When China waits → prices STRUGGLE. 🎯 3 SCENARIOS EXPLAINED: China Buys Aggressively → Gold $5,050-5,080, Silver $80-82, Heavy March Delivery China Waits/Cautious → Gold $4,880-4,900, Silver $74-76, Orderly Rollover Middle Ground (Most Likely) → Gold $4,950-5,030, Moderate 40-50M oz delivery 📈 WHAT TO WATCH TUESDAY: • Shanghai Gold Exchange premium/discount to London • SHFE futures volume vs 3-month average • Chinese dealer commentary (Bloomberg/Reuters quotes) • Yuan gold price vs USD gold price This video connects the dots between Asian physical demand, Western paper selling, and the COMEX delivery mechanics. February 27th first notice day is 8 days away. China's decision Tuesday determines everything. 🔔 SUBSCRIBE for real-time updates as China opens Tuesday morning. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📧 DISCLAIMER: The content in this video is for educational purposes only and represents my personal opinions and market analysis. It should not be considered professional financial investment advice. The financial markets, including gold, silver and precious metals, are volatile and subject to significant risks. You should always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a certified financial planner or advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not responsible for any financial losses or decisions made based on the information provided in this video. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔗 TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Hook: 72 Hours Until China Decides 1:30 - What Happened While China Was Away 4:00 - Why China Matters (World's Largest Consumer) 6:30 - The Volatility Week Breakdown 9:00 - Scenario 1: China Buys (Bull Case) 12:00 - Scenario 2: China Waits (Bear Case) 14:30 - Most Likely Scenario (Middle Ground) 16:00 - 4 Key Metrics to Watch Tuesday 17:30 - COMEX Delivery Mechanics Explained 19:00 - How to Position Your Portfolio ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ #GoldPrice #SilverSqueeze #COMEX #ChinaGold #PreciousMetals #GoldInvesting #SilverInvesting #Gold2026 #GoldMarket #SilverMarket #GoldAnalysis #SilverAnalysis #GoldNews #SilverNews #ShanghaiGoldExchange #Bullion #PhysicalSilver #GoldPrediction #SilverPrediction #FirstNoticeDay #OGJackAG Gold price prediction 2026 Silver squeeze 2026 COMEX silver shortage China gold buying Shanghai Gold Exchange Gold $5000 Silver price prediction Precious metals investing Gold market analysis Silver market analysis COMEX delivery First notice day Gold technical analysis Silver technical analysis Physical silver shortage Gold investment strategy Silver investment strategy China Lunar New Year gold OG Jack AG Gold trading strategy Silver trading strategy Bullion investing Gold vs silver 2026 Precious metals outlook Gold price crash Gold price rally Silver price target Gold price target Market manipulation gold Paper silver vs physical Silver lease rates Gold backwardation Silver backwardation