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Microsoft is down nearly 30% from its highs. It’s now trading near a 5-year low valuation multiple… Analysts are downgrading it… Yet insiders, institutions and even members of Congress have been buying. So what’s really going on? In this video, we break down: • Why Microsoft stock is actually down • The real risks investors are worried about • OpenAI exposure & AI capex concerns • Insider buying and institutional flows • Updated intrinsic value using our DCF model • What growth the market is pricing in today • Whether this is a genuine opportunity - or a value trap Using multiple valuation scenarios, we assess upside from conservative to optimistic cases and compare that with Wall Street expectations. As always, this isn’t about hype - it’s about valuation discipline. If you want full discounted cash flow breakdowns, margin of safety levels, and exact buy ranges - I publish them twice monthly on Substack: 👉 https://www.dividendtalks.com/subscribe Let me know in the comments — are you buying Microsoft here, or waiting? 🔥 Dividend Talks Exclusive Resources & Bonuses: 📩 Core Free Resources FREE Weekly Newsletter – Stay on top of dividend investing trends: 👉 Subscribe now - https://www.dividendtalks.com/subscribe Stock Valuation Model – Make smarter investment decisions: 👉 Get it here - https://www.buymeacoffee.com/dividend... Join the Community (Discord) – Connect with investors: 👉 Click here - / dividendtalks 💰 Free Money / Bonuses FREE Shares (up to £100) – Trading212 – Claim yours today: 👉 Sign up here - https://www.trading212.com/invite/Gux... 🔍 Premium Investing Tools (Discounts) $30 OFF Seeking Alpha Premium – Claim here https://www.sahg6dtr.com/29N4DP9/R74QP/ 15% OFF Fiscal AI – Get it here https://fiscal.ai/dividendtalks/?via=... 50% OFF TipRanks – Grab the deal https://tipranks.sjv.io/4GXjPn ☕ Support & Follow Support the channel – Buy Me a Coffee: 👉 Click here https://www.buymeacoffee.com/DIVIDEND... Become a Member – Unlock Perks: 👉 Join here / @dividendtalks Follow me on X (Twitter): 👉 www.x.com/DividendTalks I am not a financial advisor or licensed professional. Nothing I say or produce on YouTube or anywhere else, should be considered as advice. All content is for educational purposes only. I am not responsible for any financial losses or gains. Invest and trade at your own risk.