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What the Housing Market Looks Like Under Trump’s Economy

Episode #272 Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise: https://www.fundrise.com/bpmarket Episode Show Notes: https://www.biggerpockets.com/podcast... Join BiggerPockets for FREE 👇 https://www.biggerpockets.com/signup?... Grab Dave’s New Book, “Start with Strategy”: https://store.biggerpockets.com/produ... Find Investor-Friendly Lenders: http://biggerpockets.com/findlenders Opinion: There Could Be Financial Risks Under a Trump Presidency—Here’s How to Hedge Against Them: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/fi... Connect with Dave and Our Panel of Expert Guests: Dave Meyer: https://www.biggerpockets.com/users/d... Henry Washington: https://www.biggerpockets.com/users/h... James Dainard: https://www.biggerpockets.com/users/j... Kathy Fettke: https://www.biggerpockets.com/users/k... Did economic sentiment decide the 2024 presidential election? For many Americans, the economy was top of mind when deciding who to vote for in this past election. With inflationary worries, high home prices and mortgage rates, and general unaffordability, many Americans chose President-Elect Trump to turn the economy around. So, what does the housing market look like under Trump’s economy? And how will proposed changes (like tariffs) influence home prices? Matthew Walsh from Moody’s Analytics is on to give us some context about consumer sentiment, future home prices and mortgage rates, and what tariffs mean for the average American. Matthew brings up a good point: Even with inflation steadily declining, most Americans are still experiencing sticker shock due to our constant comparison of pre-pandemic pricing. Even with the economy doing well, it’s easy to understand why Americans feel in a worse spot than five years ago. So, with inflation cooling, will housing affordability catch up? A big part of affordability is mortgage rates, and with the Fed cutting rates, are we on the cusp of a return to (somewhat) normalcy? Matthew shares the shocking statistic on what mortgage rates would have to be for us to reach 2019 levels of affordability. Finally, we’re talking about tariffs and how higher prices for homebuilding could translate to your final home price. 00:00 Intro 01:18 Consumers Are Anxious 04:02 The Inflation "Disconnect" 11:50 Will Homes Ever Be Affordable Again? 14:40 Home Prices Could Stagnate 22:28 The Tariff Effect 29:14 Still Undersupplied in 2025?