Have Cap Rates Finally Peaked? Reading the Bottom, Rates, and What’s Next for Multifamily скачать в хорошем качестве

Have Cap Rates Finally Peaked? Reading the Bottom, Rates, and What’s Next for Multifamily

Jamison and Lexy unpack a new survey suggesting cap rates may have peaked as Treasury yields stabilize—and explain, in plain English, what a cap rate is, why it moves inversely with values, and how rate cycles flow through underwriting. They connect the dots between the Fed’s dual mandate, tariffs, and inflation risk; why a true rate-cut cycle would flip us from buyer’s to seller’s market; and how to think about timing with the classic “market clock” analogy. Then they dive into the numbers: apartment transactions up ~12% in Q2, pricing vs. 2015–2019, why renting is still far cheaper than buying, and why new supply is set to fall off a cliff—a setup for future rent growth. They close with Neighborhood Ventures’ playbook: buy below replacement cost, prefer well-located distressed assets, and renovate (or not) where it pencils. What they cover: Cap rates 101 → cash flow ÷ value, and the inverse relationship to pricing Why stabilized Treasuries + expected rate cuts could mark the turn The Fed’s inflation/employment balancing act—and what tariffs might do Q2 deal flow: multifamily transactions rising and confidence returning Rent vs. buy gap: why apartments still have room to run Supply outlook: deliveries slowing sharply → conditions for rent growth Strategy now: buy vs. build, replacement cost math, and timing the “7 o’clock” entry ⚠️ Disclaimer: This episode is for informational purposes only and is not tax, legal, or investment advice. Always consult qualified professionals about your specific situation.