Correlation vs Causation: The Three-Path Test That Changes How You Think скачать в хорошем качестве

Correlation vs Causation: The Three-Path Test That Changes How You Think

Ice cream sales go up. Shark attacks go up. So ice cream causes shark attacks, right? Your brain draws that line automatically. And when the stakes are higher than dessert and beach trips, that shortcut leads to bad medical decisions, broken policies, and arguments built on nothing. In this video, I break down the difference between correlation and causation, explain why your brain falls for it every time, and give you a simple tool — the Three-Path Test — you can use whenever someone presents a causal claim. 🧠 Think Sharper helps you think clearly, resist manipulation, and make better decisions. 🔔 Subscribe for new videos every Tuesday and Thursday. 🌐 Visit: allenstafford.com 0:00 — The ice cream and shark attack problem 1:44 — Correlation vs causation defined (and the Three-Path Test) 3:02 — Why your brain falls for this every time 3:48 — Five questions to evaluate any causal claim 7:03 — Real example: Does social media cause teen depression? 8:39 — Your turn: The chocolate and Nobel Prize test 9:18 — The sovereign close Correlation and causation are two of the most commonly confused concepts in critical thinking. When two things move together, our brains assume one caused the other. But there are really only three possibilities: A caused B, B caused A, or something else is causing both. That third option — the hidden variable — is the one most people never consider. This video walks through the Three-Path Test, a simple reasoning tool you can apply to any causal claim you encounter in the news, in marketing, or in everyday conversation. We apply it to ice cream and shark attacks, social media and teen depression, and the famous chocolate-Nobel Prize correlation. Think Sharper is a judgment training platform that helps people think clearly, resist manipulation, and stay cognitively sovereign in a noisy world. #criticalthinking #correlationvscausation #thinksharper