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Fed Chicago President Austan Goolsbee is warning Americans that we may not see another rate cut in 2026 unless inflation improves or falls closer to the Fed's 2% target. This could be bad news for the Trump administration, as Trump has vowed that once he replaces Jerome Powell with his nominee, Kevin Warsh, rates would drop immediately. Unfortunately, that may not be the case in 2026. This could be a "bad look" for the President because the public is counting on the Warsh nomination to provide rate relief. However, the FOMC has 12 total members, and most currently share the sentiment that they aren't ready to cut rates yet. If the public feels misled, it could negatively impact the administration and Republicans heading into the 2026 midterm elections. Beyond the fallout over interest rates, the administration is already facing a significant backlash following the recent release of the Epstein files. With the public already frustrated by the lack of transparency in those documents, failing to deliver on the promised "Warsh Pivot" could create a double crisis of confidence. President Goolsbee, a voting member of the FOMC, claims that strong employment data and solid economic growth mean rate cuts aren't currently necessary. While his claims are a major factor, my theory is that the Fed actually fears the Supreme Court's incoming decision on Trump’s tariffs. Right now, the U.S. effective tariff rate is around 16.9%, the highest since 1932. If the Supreme Court rules these tariffs are illegal, the government might be mandated to refund those duties to Americans. This would likely spike inflation and increase the national debt, a massive concern for the Fed. They don't want to lower rates only to have inflation explode from a sudden cash infusion. At the same time, Wall Street institutional firms have noticed that retail investors are "buying the dip" on software and tech stocks at record levels. This shows that everyday investors are confident these sectors will continue to thrive. Since retail investors are the primary users of these products, their aggressive buying is a bullish sentiment. It also suggests that, despite the high-rate environment, the average retail investor isn't feeling a significant financial squeeze just yet. 👉 Subscribe for more insights on current events, economics, politics, and the latest market updates! – MASTERCLASS – Head over to my website to grab the latest discounts and special offers before they’re gone. Enroll in Baby Steps to Wall Street: https://milesgonzalez.com/baby-steps-... Enroll in Whale of Wall Street (Elite Investing): https://milesgonzalez.com/whale-of-wa... Get a FREE Alphaletter from me: https://milesgonzalez.com/alphaletter Live Coaching From ME: https://milesgonzalez.com/coaching – SOCIAL & CONNECTIONS – Instagram: / milesgonzalezz Discord: / discord Threads: https://www.threads.net/@milesgonzalezz – CONTACT – General inquiries: info@milesgonzalez.com Business/press/sponsor inquiries: business@milesgonzalez.com – DISCLAIMER – Miles Gonzalez is not a registered financial or investment advisor under the SEC and FINRA. While Miles is a former real estate agent, licensed under (Lic. 02201508) in California, purchasing or consuming information, content, or courses through milesgonzalez.com, or related platforms, does not establish an agent-client relationship or a fiduciary duty. The information provided is for educational and entertainment purposes and should not be considered personalized investment, financial, tax, legal, or real estate advice. For personalized advice, consult with a qualified CPA, attorney, real estate agent, or financial advisor. Not affiliated by any brokerage. #MilesGonzalez