The Reason Smart People Make Wrong Decisions | Annie Duke скачать в хорошем качестве

The Reason Smart People Make Wrong Decisions | Annie Duke

Annie Duke — former professional poker player, decision strategist, and bestselling author — joins us for a deep conversation about why smart people so often make bad decisions. Annie explains why misinterpretation is more dangerous than misinformation, why data is often true but misleading, and how our brains are wired for certainty in a probabilistic world. From real-world media examples to investing, health decisions, and AI-generated insights, this episode explores how explanations feel satisfying — even when they’re wrong. Important links: Substack: https://newsletter.osv.llc/ Annie's website: https://www.annieduke.com/ TIMESTAMPS 0:00 — Intro 6:30 — Misinformation vs. Misinterpretation 11:28 — The Washington Post COVID Headline 17:00 — Explanatory Satisfaction 29:00 — Deterministic Minds in a Probabilistic World 35:28 — Probability vs. Possibility 51:17 — Luck vs. Decision Quality 1:03:01 — Communicating Uncertainty 1:13:02 — Base Rates, Language, and Framing 1:29:00 — Survivorship Bias & Self-Selected Samples