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Last week’s escalation in the Middle East delivered a sharp geopolitical shock. Coordinated US-Israel strikes on Iranian military targets, followed by Iran’s missile retaliation, quickly raised tensions. For investors, the key question is not the headlines themselves, but whether the conflict meaningfully alters the outlook for global markets and long term returns. Markets reacted swiftly. Oil prices surged as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz - responsible for around 20% of global oil supply - was disrupted. The US dollar strengthened as investors sought safety, while Treasury yields rose, an unusual move reflecting renewed inflation concerns. Equities proved resilient with airlines and transport lagging, and as energy and defensives outperforming. History suggests regional conflicts rarely derail corporate earnings – except when energy flows are severely and persistently disrupted. As Goldman Sachs notes, that is the critical judgment call now. Join Stephan Clark for the part two on the conflict, as he speaks with Mark Brooks, Chief Investment Officer, to review recent developments and the opportunities ahead for well positioned portfolios.