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The legal battle for prediction markets just shifted from federal to state courts, and the implications for Kalshi and Polymarket are massive. In this video, I break down the recent lawsuits filed by Nevada and Massachusetts and explain the strategic "lesson learned" by state gaming regulators. We dive into the core legal arguments: The "State Court" Strategy: Why regulators stopped sending cease and desist letters and went straight to filing suit [00:39]. Preemption & The CFTC: Does the CFTC have exclusive jurisdiction over event contracts, or is sports wagering a "state issue" traditionally reserved to the states? [02:31] "Elephants in Mouse Holes": Explaining this famous canon of statutory construction and how it applies to federal vs. state authority over gambling [04:17]. The Commodity Question: Is the outcome of a sports event actually a "commodity"? I discuss the 2010 motion picture receipts precedent and what it means for the future of these exchanges [06:55]. Are these exchanges trading futures or just facilitating gambling? Let's look at the law behind the headlines. Contact me for professional consultation: [Insert your contact link/email from bio] Disclaimer The information provided in this video is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute legal or financial advice. Accessing this content does not create an attorney-client relationship. Laws vary by jurisdiction; please consult with a qualified legal professional regarding your specific situation.