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Market Insights | Crisis in the Middle East

In this week's GVA Market Insights, our Asset Management team deep dives into the crisis in the Middle East: Middle East escalation & Oil shock: Operation Epic Fury and the Strait of Hormuz disruption have driven oil near $100+ and injected geopolitical risk, but markets have reacted relatively calmly so far. Macro impact remains contained: Inflation expectations and yields have ticked higher, equities modestly lower, and Fed rate cut expectations have been pushed back. Credit market stress is the real risk: Widening CCC spreads, private credit redemption pressure, and loan markdowns signal potential cracks that could spill into broader financial markets if conditions worsen. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted. All investing involves risk including loss of principal. No strategy assures success or protects against loss.