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Most people see the headlines. Very few understand what’s actually moving the Bitcoin market. Today, we strip away the hype, the fear, the speculation and the social-media noise. Using the Bitcoin Reality Score (BRS), Dom and David break down five major stories sweeping across the crypto world — and reveal what’s real, what’s noise, and what actually matters for long-term Bitcoin adoption. Welcome to 1% BTC — where we help you see through the narratives and focus on the truth. 🔍 STORY 1 — Prediction Markets Go Wild Over Trump’s Next Fed Chair Prediction platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket and PredictIt are suddenly pricing Kevin Hassett as Trump’s likely Federal Reserve pick, with probabilities between 63% and 79%. Media headlines are framing this as a near certainty — and shouting that it’s bullish for Bitcoin. But the BRS shows: Manipulation level: High Basis: speculative betting, not confirmed policy Reality impact: Low (1.5) Upside if true: Moderate, but still unproven Key takeaway: This is anticipation, not adoption. Interesting macro noise, but nothing structural yet. 🔍 STORY 2 — Crypto Influencers Misread a $12.5B Treasury Buyback X was flooded with influencers calling the Treasury’s latest buyback “stealth QE” and “giga bullish for crypto.” The reality? This was a pre-announced, routine operational move Funded from existing Treasury cash, not new money No increase in liquidity No impact on Fed balance sheet Not QE. Not stimulus. Not even new. BRS verdict: Narrative hype: High Actual impact: Neutral / Non-event Reality Score: 0.0 Key takeaway: Most will chase the hype. The 1% understand the difference between liquidity operations and money printing. 🔍 STORY 3 — CFTC Approves Spot Crypto Products on Regulated Futures Exchanges This is one of the biggest regulatory shifts in US history, even if most people haven’t noticed yet. The CFTC now legally allows spot Bitcoin products on CME, CBOE, LedgerX and more. Why this matters: First time ever spot crypto can exist on US futures exchanges Clear regulatory oversight Ends years of ambiguity between the SEC and CFTC Builds the pipes for future institutional flows Probability of expansion across major venues: 75% BRS Reality Score: 5.3 Upside potential: 7.2 Key takeaway: This is back-end financial plumbing — the boring stuff that changes everything. 🔍 STORY 4 — The CFTC Pilot That Shocked Us: Bitcoin as Collateral This is the story David and Dom nearly missed — and it turned out to be one of the most important. The CFTC launched a supervised pilot allowing Bitcoin, Ethereum and USDC to be used as collateral in US derivatives markets. Why this is enormous: Bitcoin now tested as institutional-grade collateral Weekly reporting + custody rules + haircuts This is how gold entered modern market infrastructure Signals Bitcoin is being treated like a high-quality financial asset And yes: it reduces selling pressure long-term BRS Reality Score: 6.9 Five-year significance: Confirmed Structural upgrade: Massive Key takeaway: Bitcoin just earned a seat at the derivatives table. This is the kind of integration that rewires markets from the inside out. 💬 WHAT DO YOU WANT US TO SCORE NEXT? Drop any headline, tweet or rumour in the comments — and we’ll run it through the Bitcoin Reality Score to tell you whether it’s real… or just noise. 🟧 JOIN THE ONE PERCENTER MOVEMENT https://www.onepercentbtc.com/ Most will miss it. Most will mock it. Most will wait until it’s too late. Be a One Percenter. 👉 Subscribe 👉 Like and share this video 👉 Follow us on TikTok, IG and X: @OnePercentBTC ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not financial advice. This is our journey, our research, and our attempt to cut through confusion in the Bitcoin space. Always consult a fiduciary before making financial decisions.