Bitcoin's Low Volatility Trap — Why Falling Volume + Stalling Price = More Downside скачать в хорошем качестве

Bitcoin's Low Volatility Trap — Why Falling Volume + Stalling Price = More Downside

BTC is stuck in a tight range after breaking those short-term supports around $80K and $75K. Daily opens and closes are coming in within about 2% of each other — extremely compressed price action. Here's the thing: low volatility combined with falling volume historically precedes more downside, not a reversal. If the price is stalling and volume is falling, that's going to be a bearish outcome. On-balance volume remains strongly bearish, confirming distribution. Momentum is ugly. Daily RSI sitting at 36.36 (yesterday's close was 35.32), and the weekly RSI closed at 18.4 — we talked about this yesterday, that's deeper than early 2022 bear market readings. The TBO cloud on the daily is solidly bearish and there's zero indication of a trend reversal here. I keep saying it: any bounce to the fast line is a short opportunity, not a sign of strength. Stablecoin dominance is the one chart I'm watching most closely for a potential short-term altcoin catalyst. We're at roughly 10.842% right now, and if that pulls back toward the fast line around 10%, we could see a rotation into alts. But zoom out — the weekly TBO cloud for stablecoin dominance has all four lines pointing up with a next upside target near 13%. That macro trend tells you stablecoins are still where money wants to be, which means more pain for crypto overall. Macro context is mixed today. The dollar index slipped, which gave a boost to equities and regional markets — the Nikkei rose on the back of some political developments. But S&P futures are showing multiple bearish divergence clusters on TBT signals, and there's historical precedent for protracted declines from setups like this. Don't let a green day fool you into thinking the coast is clear. Total 50 lost roughly 21% over seven days after losing support in late January — that's a brutal move. On individual alts, Skycoin surged about 23% but slightly overshot resistance, so I'm watching for a pullback. Rain popped ~12% on a daily breakout, but the volume was low, which makes me cautious about follow-through. Uranium names recovered after dropping around 20%, which is interesting for the rotation thesis. On stocks, NVIDIA saw a 10% rebound right into a very tight weekly cloud — that's a decision point. GameStop is holding above long-term overhead resistance, which is noteworthy. Tesla remains in bearish consolidation on the weekly with no signs of breaking out. I'm actively trading both short and long setups right now, keying off TBO fast and slow lines. Using stop losses religiously and taking staged profits — I booked about $200 on a partial short close today. The message is the same as yesterday: protect your profits. When price stalls and volume dries up, the next move is usually down. Don't get caught holding bags hoping for a bounce that the data doesn't support. 🔥 Exclusive Resources For You 🔥 🥇 TBO Indicator The Trending Breakout (TBO for short) indicator is the best TradingView indicator for a reason: it spots trends early, identifies breakouts, and helps me avoid false signals and market noise. Get access to it here: https://www.thebettertraders.com/TBO 💪 Sign up and Trade on Toobit Trade to Earn up to $30,000 in Welcome Rewards with my special link 👉https://go.coinbureau.com/aarontoobit 🦾 Altrady: The Best Automated Crypto Trading Platform Use the best crypto trading platform to automate your trading and take it to a whole new level. Whether it's DCA bots, Smart Trading, or Grid Bots, Altrady has the best tools available. Save 12% with our special referral link: https://altrady.com/?a=thebettertraders 🧑‍🏫 Crypto Trading Education Courses Ready to take your trading to the next level? Learn our proven strategies for making substantial profits through crypto trading, covering Automated Bot Trading, Active Scalping, Day Trading, and Swing Trading at https://www.thebettertraders.com/. Our courses are designed to turn you into a trading powerhouse 💪 💡 Mastering Assets Learn the foundational basics of cryptocurrency and Bitcoin with an investor's perspective at Mastering Assets. Get started in crypto with my intro course, The Complete Cryptocurrency Investor: https://masteringassets.com/ 💯 My Official Links Stay in touch with all things crypto by following me across all platforms. Check out https://linktree.com/aarondishner for easy access to Discord, Twitter, Instagram, and TikTok. Follow us for the latest market insights, updates, and more. *Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and none of the information presented in this video should be considered financial advice. All content shared is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions.