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What would happen if Hong Kong declared independence from China? China would immediately deploy its military to suppress the movement with overwhelming force. Although Hong Kong may have prepared its own defense force, it would only be able to resist for a short time. Upon hearing the news, Taiwan would quickly mobilize and send military support to assist Hong Kong. In the initial phase, the joint forces might succeed in pushing Chinese troops back from the city. However, as China reinforces its military presence and intensifies the crackdown, Taiwan would begin to fear the consequences and call for help from the United States. But the U.S., unwilling to engage in another conflict, would refuse to intervene. Left without international support, Taiwan would be forced to withdraw its troops, leaving Hong Kong isolated. With martial law declared and the military closing in, Hong Kong could descend into chaos — echoing the tragedy of the Tiananmen Square incident.