NVDA Stock Analysis: Fair Value $182.64 | DCF Model October 2025 скачать в хорошем качестве

NVDA Stock Analysis: Fair Value $182.64 | DCF Model October 2025

NVDA DCF Valuation Analysis 2025 | NVIDIA Corporation Stock Analysis Complete discounted cash flow analysis reveals NVDA trading at $182.64 vs intrinsic value of $208.69 - that's 14.3% upside potential. Professional valuation methodology with transparent assumptions. VIDEO CHAPTERS: 0:00 Introduction - Is NVDA Worth It? 0:13 Company Overview - NVIDIA Corporation Business Model 1:04 Price Comparison - Current vs Fair Value 1:22 Growth Analysis - Revenue Projections & Methodology 1:51 Risk Assessment - WACC Breakdown 2:14 Cash Flow Projections - 10-Year Model 2:32 Valuation Results - Enterprise to Equity Value 2:58 Sensitivity Analysis - Testing Key Assumptions 3:16 Conclusion & Resources QUICK SUMMARY: Current Market Price: $182.64 Calculated Intrinsic Value: $208.69 Valuation Gap: 14.3% undervalued Revenue Growth Assumption: 46.4% Terminal Growth Rate: 4.0% Discount Rate (WACC): 9.8% Growth Confidence Level: 100.0% Sector: Technology Market Cap: $4.4T METHODOLOGY: Growth Assumptions We applied log-linear regression to 10 years of revenue data, weighted toward recent periods and adjusted for statistical outliers. Combined with analyst forecasts where available, this produced a 46.4% growth rate for the projection period. Rather than assuming an abrupt transition to maturity, we model exponential decay to 4.0% terminal growth over 10 years, eliminating the artificial volatility common in standard two-stage DCF models. Discount Rate (WACC) We obtained the unlevered beta (1.49) for Semiconductors from Damodaran's industry dataset and re-levered it using NVIDIA Corporation's actual capital structure. This company-specific approach, combined with current market risk premiums and NVIDIA Corporation's debt profile, resulted in a 9.8% weighted average cost of capital. Cash Flow Projections Starting from $191.1B in revenue, we project 46.4% growth through year 5, then exponential tapering to 4.0% terminal growth. With 44.6% EBITDA margins and standard adjustments for capex, working capital, and taxes, terminal year free cash flow reaches $514.7B. Valuation Interpretation Market price aligns closely with our DCF valuation, suggesting current pricing reflects reasonable expectations for NVIDIA Corporation's fundamentals. However, DCF valuations are assumption-dependent. With terminal value representing 69% of total valuation, small changes in long-term growth or discount rate assumptions can significantly shift the outcome. Test different scenarios in our interactive model to develop your own view. All calculations follow standard corporate finance methodology with conservative assumptions. TOOLS & RESOURCES: DCF Valuation Model: https://stockoscope.com/stock/nvda/value Run interactive DCF analysis with adjustable assumptions Business Quality Analysis: https://stockoscope.com/stock/nvda/pi... Ten core business quality pillars revealing performance patterns over time Peer Comparison: https://stockoscope.com/stock/nvda/peers Compare performance against sector peers with interactive charts Visual Stock Screener: https://stockoscope.com/screener Filter 40+ metrics with interactive logo charts Methodology Deep-Dive: https://blog.stockoscope.com/building... JOIN THE DISCUSSION: Do you think NVDA is fairly valued at current prices? What assumptions would you change in this DCF model? Share your thoughts in the comments below. Subscribe for daily DCF analyses of S&P 500 companies and hit the notification bell to never miss a valuation update. What stock should we analyze next? Drop your suggestions in the comments. ABOUT STOCKOSCOPE: Stockoscope is a professional stock analysis platform dedicated to investor education. We provide institutional-grade DCF valuations and fundamental analysis tools for all S&P 500 companies, with full transparency into every assumption and calculation. Our mission: making sophisticated financial analysis accessible and understandable through interactive tools, systematic methodologies, and educational content. Learn by doing, not just watching. IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS: This is educational content only, not investment advice. DCF models are sensitive to assumptions and your results may vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor for personalized advice. Stockoscope does not provide investment recommendations. #NVDA #NVDAStock #NVDAAnalysis #DCFAnalysis #DCFValuation #StockValuation #ValueInvesting #StockAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #InvestingForBeginners #StockMarket #Investing2025 #Technology #IntrinsicValue #DiscountedCashFlow #Stockoscope