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The Iran conflict is escalating and oil prices are surging. Could this trigger the next global liquidity crisis? Credit spreads are quietly widening. And the Fed is running out of room to do nothing. This follows a pattern we've seen before: Risk assets sell off Credit stress bleeds into equities Central banks are forced to cut Liquidity floods back and hard assets lead The question isn't whether this cycle plays out. It's where Bitcoin is when it does. In this episode of The Daily Stack, Publius breaks down the full macro picture — from the Strait of Hormuz to the Fed's next move — and what it means for Bitcoin over the next 6-12 months. What we cover: Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz risk Why an oil spike triggers demand destruction, not just inflation Credit spreads as the canary in the coal mine The Fed's forced hand — and the timeline Bitcoin's likely path through the shock 👇 Where do you think we are in the cycle? Drop it below. 🔔 Subscribe for weekly Bitcoin and macro analysis. Follow us on X: https://x.com/DailyStackHQ #Bitcoin #Macro #OilShock #FederalReserve #BTC #CreditMarkets #Commodities Your daily breakdown of Bitcoin, macro, markets, and treasury companies. 🔗 Subscribe to Bitcoin News Weekly: https://bitcoinnews.com/subscribe 🔗 Follow us: twitter.com/dailystackhq 🔗 Website: bitcoinnews.com Presented in partnership with 21rates.