CAsToR 2021: “An Experimental Model of the Tobacco Marketplace” Warren Bickel, PhD скачать в хорошем качестве

CAsToR 2021: “An Experimental Model of the Tobacco Marketplace” Warren Bickel, PhD

“An Experimental Model of the Tobacco Marketplace” with Warren Bickel, PhD From the CAsToR Symposium 2021: “Simulation Modeling in Tobacco Regulatory Science: Where are we and where should we go next?” (June 7 - 9, 2021) Day Two, Session Three: “Innovative Approaches to Generate Model Parameters” ABOUT THIS PRESENTATION The tobacco marketplace is experiencing rapid changes in the type and number of tobacco products and new policies. Adding to that complexity is the illegal tobacco marketplace, which will continue to develop in response to some policies. Here we report on the Experimental Tobacco Marketplace (ETM) paradigm that we have developed and tested in various studies. The ETM is a methodology developed to forecast the consequences of regulatory policies on consumer behaviors before policy implementation. The ETM is a virtual purchasing experience that places a mix of products differing in prices, flavors and nicotine concentration, and specific regulations under experimental control to simulate “real-world” changes in the dynamic tobacco marketplace. This methodology provides estimates of the effects of regulatory changes on tobacco purchasing patterns, including between-product substitution and illegal purchases by different types of tobacco product consumers when faced with price-focused (e.g., taxes or subsidies) or product-focused (e.g., product restrictions) policies. The strength of the ETM includes versatility to model the legal and the illegal tobacco marketplace and the capacity to rapidly explore factors that may change consumers’ behaviors. Here we will review our studies that describe the substitution patterns resulting from increases in cigarette price and/or policy changes including nicotine vaping products (NVP) nicotine concentration, cigarette taxes and NVP subsidies, workplace restrictions, restrictions on filter ventilation, and illegal purchasing resulting from a reduces nicotine standards for cigarettes and NVP bans. Collectively, this presentation will provide the contemporary status of this methodology and its utility in tobacco regulatory science. ABOUT THE PRESENTER Warren Bickel, PhD: Carilion Inaugural Professor of Behavioral Health Research; Director, Addiction Recovery Research Center; Director, Center for Transformative Research on Health Behaviors, Fralin Biomedical Research Institute at VTC (Virginia Tech) Dr. Bickel is an accomplished scholar and researcher in addiction and health behavior research. He received his Ph.D. in developmental and child psychology from the University of Kansas and completed post-doctoral training at Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine. He has led research programs at the Albert Einstein College of Medicine, the University of Vermont, and the University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences. Dr. Bickel currently leads NIH-funded research programs at the Fralin Biomedical Research Institute at VTC. He is the recipient of numerous awards and honors including the 2016 Nathan B. Eddy Award for Outstanding Research. Dr. Bickel has co-edited five books and published over 470 papers and chapters. His work is frequently cited and receives national and international recognition.