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Iran's Evolving War Plan

As Israel and the United States continue to pummel targets across Iran and assassinate top leaders, how is the Islamic Republic’s remaining brain trust thinking about its future? How does it define success from this point? What do we know about its bench strength and the views of its next generation of leaders? And what does that portend for the future of the region? FP’s Ravi Agrawal sat down with Ali Vaez, the Iran project director at the International Crisis Group, to explore how Tehran will navigate the next few days and weeks of war. Watch the interview on FP’s site: https://foreignpolicy.com/live/ali-va... Read Ali Vaez and Robert A. Pape's new piece in FP: https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/30/... 0:00 Intro 1:56 Iran’s leadership structure 4:53 New hard-line leaders 6:54 Centralized command & control 9:43 Ongoing negotiations 16:20 Iran’s cost calculus 25:48 If the regime survives 28:30 Israel’s calculus 32:06 The Gulf states 36:30 Future deterrence On the go? Listen to FP Live as a podcast at https://link.chtbl.com/foreignpolicyl... or wherever you get your podcasts. FP Live is Foreign Policy's forum for live journalism that brings leading foreign-policy experts and thinkers together to analyze the world's biggest events. Visit http://foreignpolicy.com/live for the full conversation and more live journalism from Foreign Policy. Subscribe to Foreign Policy's Youtube Channel:    / @foreign-policy   Visit http://foreignpolicy.com/ to read the latest global news and analysis from FP. Follow Foreign Policy: X -   / foreignpolicy   Instagram -   / foreignpolicymag   Facebook -   / foreign.policy.magazine   LinkedIn -   / foreign-policy-magazine   TikTok -   / foreignpolicymagazine