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Donald Trump’s sudden shift on Ukraine has come as a massive shock to most countries in America’s orbit. European leaders who have long banked their national security on US military protection are beginning to lose confidence in their most powerful ally. Last month the new German Chancellor Friedrich Merz declared that his priority was to "strengthen Europe" and become independent of the US and other Europe countries are following suit. But there is one American ally that has been planning for this potential eventuality for decades. France has long been sceptical of how much America can be trusted and now they may be the only safe refuge for countries looking for new security guarantees. So how did they see this about-face coming? And what capacity does Paris have to be the new security guarantor for global democracy? Watch all episodes of If You're Listening - in our playlist here: • If You're Listening | ABC News In-depth Subscribe: https://ab.co/3yqPOZ5 Welcome to ABC News In-depth, where you'll find our long-form journalism and other videos to help you understand what's going on in the world around you. Watch more ABC News content ad-free on ABC iview: https://ab.co/2OB7Mk1 For more from ABC News, click here: https://ab.co/2kxYCZY Get breaking news and livestreams from our ABC News channel: / newsonabc Like ABC News on Facebook: / abcnews.au Follow ABC News on Instagram: / abcnews_au Follow ABC News on Twitter: / abcnews Note: In most cases, our captions are auto-generated. #ABCNewsIndepth #ABCNewsAustralia