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NOTE: This video was recorded on Monday Nov. 4 and may have been superseded by a newer forecast. Now a tropical depression, a storm deep in the Caribbean is likely to become Tropical Storm Rafael then Hurricane Rafael and may be our 6th Gulf of Mexico landfalling storm for the U.S. CHAOS TO CLARITY: In this video series, AccuWeather's Chief Video Meteorologist Bernie Rayno dives into the chaos of meteorology and computer model predictions for upcoming storms, sorting through the data to develop accurate forecasts. First up: This weekend's storm. » Subscribe now for more videos from AccuWeather: https://bit.ly/2TQgT0O Download the AccuWeather app: » iOS: https://apple.co/3gwaSnL » Android: https://bit.ly/3xpmwGw » AccuWeather is the world’s most accurate source of weather. But don’t just take our word for it. Find out how we make a difference in the lives of more than 1.5 billion people by people who care about the weather. » Check out more weather videos here: https://www.accuweather.com/en/videos Follow AccuWeather here: » Facebook: / accuweather » Twitter: / accuweather