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This video reveals why most people misjudge their own decisions by confusing outcomes with decision quality. Drawing on Annie Duke’s theory, it explains how the brain responds to uncertainty, why decision-making is so mentally exhausting, and how cognitive biases train us to learn the wrong lessons from past experiences. The video dismantles the belief that good decisions always produce good results and introduces the core metaphor that life is a game of poker, not chess: incomplete information, risk, and probability are unavoidable. Along the way, it explores the physiological effects of decision-related stress, the role of dopamine in reinforcing mistakes, the illusion of control, and why decisions should be evaluated by process rather than outcome. The video concludes by showing how thinking in terms of bets leads to better future decisions and reduces guilt, anxiety, and paralysis in the face of uncertainty.