Скачать с ютуб 独家：习近平是否已经失去权力？两会前瞻 в хорошем качестве

独家：习近平是否已经失去权力？两会前瞻

成为此频道的会员即可获享以下福利：    / @duwen2024   独家：习近平是否已经失去权力？两会前瞻 最近一段时间以来或者说一直以来。有多位媒体记者朋友和一些网友问我：习近平现在到底是不是真的要被政变了？是不是真的要下台失去权力了呀？你对某某大v的说法如何看？等等。其实有关这个话题，我也不止一次在本栏目中进行讨论过。但是各种谣言、猜测总是不绝于耳，造谣的乐此不疲的造，传谣的不遗余力的传，听众们没完没了地问。我一般都说，你非问我，我肯定告诉你，那是谣言，因为习近平最高权力归属、政变的谋划，都是绝对的生死攸关的绝密，若真有这样的情报，他们也不可能知道，这种事，只有当事人知道，还没有干就干往出胡咧咧那是找死，那种蠢货是无论如何都干不成这样的大事的。我个人也盼望着谣言是真的，如果真的那样该多好。但现实与想象不是一回事，用情感代替事实绝非明智之举。应广大网友们强烈要求，今天我就从中共内部的一个视角。就“习近平是否已经失去权力？以及有哪些因素对其权力基础构成冲击？”的话题展开今天的讨论。可能这个视角缺乏一些想象力，但我的讨论是认真的、负责的、严肃的。我认为也是值得大家看完并且与我一同观察和思考的。 许多人常问：在当下的中国政治格局里，习近平究竟牢不可破，还是危机四伏？表面上，他以“一尊”之势牢牢掌控党政军，并通过取消任期限制、清洗潜在对手等方式实现了前所未有的个人集权。然而，我们也看到，越是高压、越是极力维稳的体制，就越存在暗流涌动的风险：社会不满被压制得越深，一旦触碰到某个导火索，爆发力就越强。此外，近期习近平的多名亲信接连落马，军队、政法等关键系统人事大震荡，都让外界开始再度审视：这位看似无懈可击的最高领导者，是否已经受到了某种程度的挑战？或者，他的大权牢笼之中，是否早已埋下了潜在的裂痕？ Exclusive: Has Xi Jinping Already Lost Power? A Preview of the Two Sessions For some time now—perhaps one could say, constantly—many journalist friends and online users have been asking me: Is Xi Jinping really about to be overthrown in a coup? Is he truly on the verge of losing power? What do you think of certain prominent commentators’ claims? And so on. In fact, I have discussed this topic more than once in this column. Yet rumors and speculation never seem to die down. Those who spread falsehoods do so with great enthusiasm, those who pass them on spare no effort, and the audience keeps asking endlessly. My usual response is: If you insist on asking me, I can only tell you—it’s a rumor. The highest-level power struggles and coup conspiracies within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) are matters of life and death, shrouded in absolute secrecy. If such intelligence were real, those spreading it wouldn’t know about it. Such affairs are known only to the key players themselves. Talking recklessly before action is suicidal—those foolish enough to do so would never be capable of orchestrating something as major as this. Personally, I wish the rumors were true—how great that would be. But reality is not the same as imagination. Replacing facts with emotions is far from wise. Due to strong demand from readers, today I will discuss this topic from an internal CCP perspective: Has Xi Jinping already lost power? What factors are challenging his political foundation? This perspective may lack sensationalism, but my discussion will be serious, responsible, and rigorous. I believe it is worth your time to read and reflect upon with me. Many people frequently ask: In China’s current political landscape, is Xi Jinping truly unshakable, or is he surrounded by crisis? On the surface, he has consolidated his control over the Party, government, and military with an “imperial” grip, eliminating term limits and purging potential rivals to achieve unprecedented personal authority. However, history shows that the more oppressive and stability-obsessed a system is, the greater the undercurrents of resistance become. When social discontent is deeply suppressed, the more explosive it will be once ignited. Moreover, in recent months, several of Xi’s close allies have fallen, and there have been major personnel shake-ups in key sectors such as the military and security apparatus. These developments have led observers to reassess: Has this seemingly invincible leader encountered significant challenges? Or, within the very fortress of his power, have cracks already begun to form?