Nassim Taleb - The Black Swan (21 Ideas I Learned) скачать в хорошем качестве

Nassim Taleb - The Black Swan (21 Ideas I Learned)

🟠 Doers Notebook - https://www.doersnotebook.com/ 📚 The Black Swan (Amazon) - https://amzn.to/4j5tVnE 📙 My (free) ebook 43 Nuggets to Become Better, Richer, and Wiser - https://pickingnuggets.com/ 💌 The Little Almanack (My weekly newsletter where I send out a nugget every Friday) - https://www.littlealmanack.com/ ------------------------- CHAPTERS 0:00 - Introduction 4:47 - Idea #1: Focus on the Outliers 8:49 - Idea #2: Platonicity 12:31 - Idea #3: The Anti-Library 15:46 - Idea #4: Scalable and non-scalable professions 22:16 - Idea #5: The Province of Mediocristan 24:34 - Idea #6: The Province of Extremistan 27:17 - Idea #7: The Problem of Induction 30:20 - Idea #8: Black Swans are always relative to knowledge 31:08 - Idea #9: The Round-trip Fallacy 33:12 - Idea #10: The Error of Confirmation (aka THE CONFIRMATION BIAS) 35:43 - Idea #11: The basis for true Self-Confidence 40:48 - Idea #12: The Narrative Fallacy 44:09 - Idea #13: Silent Evidence 48:06 - Idea #14: The Ludic Fallacy 54:32 - Idea #15: Epistemic Arrogance & Epistemic Humility 56:56 - Idea #16: The Fire Hydrant Experiment 1:02:26 - Idea #17: Budget for Uncertainty 1:04:09 - Idea #18: Ditch the 5-year plan 1:06:52 - Idea #19: Maximize the Serendipity around you 1:08:36 - Idea #20: Look for asymmetric outcomes 1:10:21 - Idea #21: Set up your own game DISCLAIMER Links included in this description might be affiliate links. If you purchase a product or service with the links that I provide I may receive a small commission. There is no additional charge to you!