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Welcome to today’s urgent weather briefing with Andrew the Weather Guy. In this in-depth video, we’re breaking down the severe weather threat that could impact Northern Michigan tonight. With the latest data from the HRRR and NAM models, we’re focusing on the key factors that could lead to tornado development and other severe weather phenomena across the Great Lakes region. What to Expect: • Detailed Tornado Risk Analysis: We dive into the newest HRRR model data as of 10 Zulu time, showing concerning storm cells forming over Northern Michigan, including regions such as Gaylord, Petoskey, and Charlevoix. These cells are expected to move through the area between 9 PM and 12 AM tonight. • Atmospheric Conditions Breakdown: Learn about the critical weather parameters that are driving this severe weather threat. Andrew discusses the importance of CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy), shear, updraft helicity, and how these factors combine to create an environment ripe for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms. • Model Comparisons & Forecast Details: We compare data from the HRRR, NAM, and SPC models to provide a comprehensive outlook. Andrew explains how shortwave troughs and upper-air dynamics are contributing to the instability in the atmosphere, increasing the risk for tornado formation. • Tornado Potential: While the SPC currently places Northern Michigan under a slight risk with a 2% chance of tornadoes, Andrew discusses the possibility of this being upgraded to a 5% risk later today, depending on how the models evolve. We’ll examine the potential for long-track tornadoes and other significant severe weather events. • Shear Analysis & Storm Tracks: The video highlights areas of high shear and updraft helicity that are of particular concern. Andrew shows how these factors could lead to storm rotation, increasing the likelihood of tornadoes forming and staying on the ground. • Severe Weather Timeline: We’ll walk through the timing of the severe weather, showing when the most intense storms are expected to hit. Andrew pinpoints the critical hours where you need to be most alert and prepared for rapidly changing conditions. Stay Ahead of the Storm: This is a must-watch for anyone living in or near Northern Michigan, especially those in the path of these potentially dangerous storms. If you’re a storm chaser, weather enthusiast, or just someone wanting to keep your family safe, this detailed analysis will give you the information you need to stay prepared. Subscribe & Stay Safe: Don’t miss out on the latest updates and detailed weather analyses—be sure to LIKE this video and SUBSCRIBE to the channel. Turn on notifications so you’re the first to know about breaking weather news and updates. IMPORTANT: Share this video with friends and family who live in the affected areas. Their safety could depend on being informed about these developing threats. This weather briefing is not just about forecasting; it’s about ensuring that you have the knowledge and preparation to stay safe during potentially life-threatening weather events. Andrew the Weather Guy brings his expertise in storm chasing and forecasting to provide you with accurate, timely, and actionable information. Support the Channel: If you find this content valuable, consider supporting the channel by sharing it widely, leaving a comment, and engaging with the community. Your support helps us continue to provide high-quality weather content and keep you informed of critical weather developments. Thank you for watching, and stay safe out there! #TornadoWarning #SevereWeather #WeatherUpdate #NorthernMichigan #AndrewTheWeatherGuy #StormChasing #WeatherForecast #HRRR #NAM #SPC #GaylordMI #PetoskeyMI #CharlevoixMI #WeatherAnalysis #StaySafe