Eric Schmidt: AI's Rapid Evolution – From Programmers to Superintelligence скачать в хорошем качестве

Eric Schmidt: AI's Rapid Evolution – From Programmers to Superintelligence

In this insightful discussion, Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google, outlines the transformative impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on human lives and industries. Schmidt projects that within one year, AI will largely replace human programmers and achieve the capabilities of graduate-level mathematicians. He attributes AI's proficiency in these areas to its ability to perform "word prediction" at an "unimaginable" scale, especially in the simpler language of mathematics. Schmidt highlights that major AI research groups, including OpenAI and Anthropic, are already leveraging AI to generate 10-20% of their own code, a process known as recursive self-improvement. Looking further ahead, he predicts the emergence of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) within three to five years, defining it as a system as intelligent as the smartest human in various fields, from science to creative arts. This outlook, termed the "San Francisco consensus," suggests a future where advanced AI assistance is universally accessible. The discussion also explores 'agentic solutions' – AI systems that learn, remember, and can automate complex, multi-step tasks across business, government, and academia. Schmidt, however, emphasizes that while automation will change job roles, more jobs are historically created than destroyed, citing trends in rapidly automating Asian countries. He further discusses the concept of Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI), forecasting its arrival within six years according to the "San Francisco consensus," where computers become "smarter than the sum of humans". Schmidt underscores the massive power requirements for such AI and warns that society's legal and democratic frameworks are struggling to keep pace with these rapid advancements, suggesting the full implications are "underhyped". Key current AI developments he mentions include 'infinite context windows' for advanced planning and 'text to text to code' capabilities, allowing AI to program based on natural language commands. He also identifies the leading entities in AI research: Anthropic (allied with Amazon), Google's Gemini, OpenAI (Microsoft), and Facebook with its open-source approach. Schmidt also references his book with Henry Kissinger, "Genesis," for deeper insights into these developments. #ericschmidt #ai #artificialintelligence #futureofai #agi #artificialgeneralintelligence #asi #artificialsuperintelligence #techpredictions #futureofwork #jobautomation #recursiveselfimprovement #aiagents #sanfranciscoconsensus #aidevelopment #openai #googlegemini #anthropic #microsoft #facebookai #technology #innovation