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Geopolitics and domestic U.S. policy are set to have a large impact on markets and the economy in 2026. As part of the Chief Investment Office’s Year Ahead Outlook, Chris Hyzy, Chief Investment Officer for Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank, sits down with Larry Di Rita, head of Public Policy for Bank of America, about the most pressing topics for investors to be aware of in the coming year. 0:00 – Intro Chris Hyzy introduces the theme: 2026 Outlook for geopolitics, policy, and portfolios. 0:41 – Looking back at 2025 Larry Di Rita reviews major surprises of 2025 and discusses new administration priorities—taxes, tariffs, and deregulation. 1:30 – Tax policy achievements & tariffs Discussion on rapid passage of tax legislation, its impact on market stability and the evolution of tariff policy. 2:02 – Government shutdown fallout Federal funding deadline looms in January; risks of another shutdown and political maneuvering. 3:00 – Federal Reserve leadership Jerome Powell’s term ending in 2026—timing and implications of selecting a new Fed chair. 3:44 – U.S.–China relations Current detente between the U.S. and China; economic tensions and tariff negotiations. 4:28 – Middle East Dynamics Saudi Arabia’s role, Israeli elections, Abraham Accords, and unresolved Iran issues. 5:02 – Rare earth minerals & tech race Why rare earth processing seems to have given China leverage and U.S. efforts to build a critical minerals coalition. 6:22 – Global defense spending Europe’s $800 billion fiscal capacity for defense; implications for U.S. and European defense industries. 7:24 – Midterm elections outlook Stakes for congressional control and the president’s agenda in 2026. 8:04 – Artificial intelligence (AI) & digital infrastructure Washington’s cautious approach to AI regulation and state-level legislative efforts. 9:07 – Deregulation trends Continued push for permitting reform, faster product approvals, and banking regulation reset. 9:42 – Closing thoughts Chris Hyzy emphasizes staying invested, remaining diversified, and consulting advisors amid potential volatility. For more insights into today’s markets from Merrill and the Chief Investment Office, visit Today's Markets: Stock Market Research and Insights. https://www.ml.com/financial-research... Connect with a Merrill advisor: Why Merrill: How Merrill Lynch Can Help You Meet Your Goals. https://www.ml.com/working-with-merri... Subscribe to Merrill videos on YouTube: / @_merrill Follow Merrill on: • Instagram: Merrill (@merrill) / merrill • Facebook: Merrill | Facebook / mlwm • LinkedIn: Merrill Lynch | LinkedIn / merrilllynch • X: @MerrillLynch | https://x.com/MerrillLynch #2026Outlook #Geopolitics #MarketOutlook