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Rootclaim is an organization that tries to answer controversial questions through probabilistic analysis. They offer a "Rootclaim Challenge" for anyone willing to challenge their conclusions. The challenger must make a $100,000 bet and hold a debate in front of two neutral judges. https://www.rootclaim.com/rootclaim-c... Peter Miller challenged Rootclaim to a debate on the origins of Covid. This three debate series covers hours of discussion trying to answer the question of whether the virus arose naturally or through gain of function research. This first debate focuses on where and when covid started, and evaluates whether the market evidence in Wuhan is important. In the second debate of the series, Peter Miller and Yuri Deigin will discuss the Wuhan lab and gain of function research. In the third debate, Peter Miller and Saar Wilf will discuss probabilistic inference and try to answer what the most likely origin of covid is. After the 3rd debate, the judges will decide a winner. If both judges agree on the same decision, then the winner takes home $100,000. Timestamps: 0:00 Introductions 9:59 Presentation begins 12:50 Comparing Covid to SARS 19:03 What are the odds of a natural pandemic in Wuhan? 22:46 Why didn't we find an animal infected with Covid? 24:45 What are the odds of a lab leak? 28:24 Is the Wuhan lab unique compared to labs in other cities? 31:30 People in China think Covid was made in an American lab 33:09 There are many different lab leak theories, which can't all be true 38:10 Data on when Covid started 42:30 Was the case search biased towards the market? 48:04 Data on where Covid started 52:42 Why was the first cluster of cases at the market? 1:01:18 Did covid come from the Wuhan CDC? 1:08:20 Searches for earlier cases 1:15:15 Using genetics to figure out where and when Covid started 1:22:40 Testing within the market 1:33:35 There were two spillovers at the market 1:36:15 Did 3 researchers get sick at the WIV? Slides for this presentation: http://tinyurl.com/423zsyen