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Lawyer turned Marin County Realtor, 👉FREE Monthly Marin Real Estate Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4fuCDZW Will Marin Prices Drop 50%? I Ran The Math breaks down a bold housing crash claim and tests it against real Marin County sales data. Will Marin Prices Drop 50%? I Ran The Math explains why average prices can mislead buyers and sellers, and why the median tells a much more accurate story about where the Marin housing market is actually heading. Key Will Marin Prices Drop 50%? I Ran The Math highlights: ✅ Marin County median price vs average price explained ✅ How luxury outliers skew Marin home prices ✅ What Marin buyers should watch instead of headlines ✅ Smarter pricing strategy for Marin sellers in 2025 If you’re watching Marin County homes for sale and trying to understand whether the market is crashing or just softening, this video gives you the math, the context, and the reality behind the headlines. Will Marin County home prices drop 50%? A 50% drop is extremely unlikely based on Marin’s historical data, demand patterns, and median price trends. While prices have softened, the median shows a controlled correction, not a crash. Why is the average home price misleading in Marin County? Marin has a wide price range. A small number of luxury sales can dramatically raise the average price, even when most homes are selling for less. This makes headlines look stronger than reality. Is median price better than average for Marin real estate? Yes. The median price reflects what the typical buyer is paying and is far less affected by luxury outliers, making it a more reliable indicator of market health. What should Marin buyers and sellers focus on instead of headlines? Buyers and sellers should look at median price trends, neighborhood comps, days on market, and price reductions rather than reacting to average price headlines. FREE Newsletter, Realtor Referrals, Buyer & Seller Guides, & Contact Karrie at: https://smartagentalliance.com/karrie... ❤️Let's Be Friends on: Facebook / karriehill.realtorcoachrecruiter Instagram https://www.instagram.com/ TikTok / karrie.hill.jd.realtor LinkedIn / karrie-hill-j-d Karrie Hill, JD, DRE 02160215, 😀Email: [email protected] 😀Voicemail: 415-435-7777 Smart – Ethical – Driven, Make a Smart Move! 🏆eXp Certified Mentor 🏆Certified in Real Estate Negotiation 🏆 Guest on KDOW "The Real Estate Report" 🏆Certified Home Marketing Specialist 🏆Relocation & Cash Offers Certified 🏆Karrie's Group did 5 Billion in Real Estate transactions in 2024 🏆Graduated top of UC Berkeley Law 🏆Winner of Order of the Coif award Agents join our eXp Realty Sponsor Team where you'll gain more FREE value than anyone else! Learn more at https://smartagentalliance.com/exp-re... #marinrealestate #marincountyhomes #marincountyhomesforsale #marinrealtor #karriehill #marinrealestateagent Timestamps: 00:00 50% crash claim 00:40 Testing Marin skew 01:35 Why averages mislead 02:22 Monthly stats problem 02:50 Two-year data test 03:49 Outlier lift explained 04:37 Whales inflate averages 05:39 Median stays stable 06:30 2025 softer than 2024 07:34 Buyer and seller takeaways Tags: Will Marin Prices drop 50%? I Ran The Math,marin county real estate,marin county housing market,marin median price,marin average price,karrie hill,median vs average price,marin real estate agent,marin home prices 2025,marin county,marin market update,marin real estate statistics,marin realtor,marin luxury home sales,outliers in housing data,marin buyers,marin sellers,pricing strategy marin,days on market marin,Marin county homes for sale