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Operation Epic Fury started on February 28, 2026. By March 2, oil spiked 13%, 2,800 flights were canceled, and your household budget quietly lost $100–$200/month. In this video I break down the exact math — from the Strait of Hormuz to your gas pump, your heating bill, your 401(k), and your grocery cart. Who's winning, who's losing, and what you can do right now to protect your wallet. This isn't geopolitics. This is your budget. KEY NUMBERS FROM THIS VIDEO: Strait of Hormuz = 20% of world oil supply Brent crude: +13% in one day ($73 → $82) Projections: $100/barrel if disruption continues Every $10 oil increase = +0.2–0.3% US inflation S&P 500 futures: -1.1% | Hang Seng: -2%+ | Stoxx 600: -1.7% Gold: +1–2.8% ($5,329–$5,395/oz) 2,800+ flights canceled on March 1 alone 3 US soldiers killed, 5 seriously wounded US public support for strikes: 25% approve vs 43% disapprove Estimated household impact: -$100 to -$200/month 🔒 ACTION CHECKLIST: — Budget +$150–200/month for fuel, heating, groceries — Turn on 2FA on all financial apps — Keep 72 hours of cash reserves at home — Check State Dept advisories before any Middle East travel — Review your 401(k)/portfolio allocation 📎 SOURCES: Reuters — Oil price analysis, market reaction, Reuters/Ipsos poll data https://www.reuters.com Associated Press — Flight cancellations, stranded travelers, casualty reports https://apnews.com Al Jazeera — Conflict timeline, regional strikes, Iranian retaliation coverage https://www.aljazeera.com Atlantic Council — Thomas Warrick analysis on asymmetric threats, cyber warfare risks, Gulf state responses https://www.atlanticcouncil.org Council on Foreign Relations — Ray Takeyh analysis on Iranian regime durability https://www.cfr.org Capital Economics — Oil price projections ($100/barrel scenario) https://www.capitaleconomics.com Wood Mackenzie — Energy market analysis, Hormuz disruption modeling https://www.woodmac.com RBC Capital Markets — Market volatility analysis Barclays — Equity sell-off and de-escalation scenario assessment JPMorgan — Gulf economy growth forecast revisions U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) — Official US military casualty confirmation DISCLAIMER: This video is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing in this video constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Consult a licensed professional before making financial decisions. All data is based on publicly available sources as of March 2, 2026.