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REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S SPRING ONLINE CONFERENCE AT THE EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT PRICE at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/confe... Stocks have been trading sideways for months now -- since Halloween of last year. Portfolio manager Lance Roberts sees the market now at a "very important crossroads". Which path will it take when it breaks out of this trading range? Lance and I discuss the odds, as well as the latest inflation and AI news, rising private credit concerns, the new expansion in US manufacturing, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades. For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video. #inflation #artificialintelligence #stockmarkets 0:00 - Market Stagnation Since Halloween 1:47 - Potential Market Healing and Rotation to Value 2:25 - Opportunities in Beaten-Down Software Stocks 3:33 - Capital Flows and Sector Rotations 3:52 - Technical Breakdown and Moving Averages 4:11 - Weekly Market Action and Consolidation 5:55 - Potential Correction to November Lows 6:21 - Rotation from Mega Caps to Value Sectors 7:02 - Parabolic Topping Concerns 7:44 - Signs of a Larger Rollover 8:35 - Momentum Signals and Overbought Conditions 9:48 - Shift from Passive to Active Management 10:50 - Bullish vs Bearish Market Scenarios 11:25 - Gut Feel on Breakout vs Breakdown 12:18 - Portfolio Positioning and Overweight Equities 13:46 - PPI Data and Inflation Concerns 15:55 - PPI Uptick and Economic Activity 16:53 - Reflation Trade and Capex Spending 19:42 - Stagflation Fears Dismissed 20:41 - Chicago PMI Rebound and Manufacturing Expansion 22:44 - Hyperscaler Capex and Economic Growth 25:12 - Consumer Savings and Credit Slowdown 29:21 - Bubbles in Value Sectors 31:18 - CPI vs PPI Differentials and Profit Margins 39:15 - Block Layoffs Due to AI 40:19 - AI Job Losses in Exposed Industries 42:45 - New Jobs from AI Innovations 44:13 - Retraining for AI-Driven Economy 46:22 - Low AI Adoption in Population 47:17 - Job Loss vs Creation Balance 48:28 - Data Center Jobs and Downstream Effects 50:30 - UBI Risks and Societal Purpose 51:22 - Diminishing Prospects for Working Class 52:20 - Financial Preparation and AI Skill Building 54:20 - Private Credit Concerns and Bankruptcies 55:43 - Worry Level on Private Credit Spillover 58:51 - Portfolio Trades and Adjustments 59:59 - Adding to Beaten-Up Software Stocks _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter. We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such. We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance. IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities. Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods. A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance. Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC. Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.